A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 2 vs Carolina Panthers

Data from Week _2  Away vs _Carolina Panthers______: 

Run-Pass
 25-59
Avg Starting Field Position
 Own 25
1st Down Run-Pass
 12-20
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
 8
2nd Down Run-Pass
 10-18
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
 8
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 3-21
3rd Down Conversions
 9-20

2015 Total through Week  2   .

Run-Pass
 45-112
1st Down Run-Pass
 24-43
2nd Down Run-Pass
 16-35
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 5-34
3rd Down Conversions
 12-31 (39%)

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 2   -   Away vs Carolina Panthers :  14  Drives -   6  Run/ 8  Pass   43 % Run

2015 Total:    28  Drives - _11    _ Run/_17  _ Pass _39  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 6

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _2_ - _Away vs Panthers___         : _6/23 yards_ _3.8   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _8/81 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2015 Season Total: _14/104 yards_ _7.4 avg yards/play action pass
2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 58

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _2_   - _Away vs Panthers___         : _58/84_ _69.0_% 
Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _44/73_ _60.3_%

2015 Season Total: _102/157   _ _65.0_% 
2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 7
 34
 4.9
 2
 5
11
 9
 22
 2.4
 7
 2
12
 3
 17
 5.7
 2
 1
13
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
20
 1
 0
 0.0
 0
 1
21
 4
 8
 2.0
 2
 2
22
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
23
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 3
 16
 5.3
 1
 2
S11
 53
 190
 3.6
 9
 44
S12
 2
 0
 0.0
 0
 2
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 84
 293
 3.5
 25
 59

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.
2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _2___.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 7
 34
 4.9
 2
 5
11
 28
 171
 6.1
 17
 11
12
 9
 38
 4.2
 4
 5
13
 1
 1
 1.0
 1
 0
20
 1
 0
 0.0
 0
 1
21
 5
 10
 2.0
 3
 2
22
 3
 7
 2.3
 3
 0
23
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 6
 16
 2.7
 1
 5
S11
 91
 389
 4.3
 12
 79
S12
 5
 28
 5.6
 1
 4
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 157
 697
 4.4
 45
 112


* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:
Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
22
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
 1
23
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
 1
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 1
 7
 7.0
 0
 1
 1
S11
 21
 54
 2.6
 1
 20
 6
S12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 24
 67
 2.8
 3
 21
 9


2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _2__.
Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
22
 2
 3
 1.5
 2
 0
 1
23
 1
 3
 3.0
 1
 0
 1
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 2
 7
 3.5
 0
 2
 1
S11
 34
 82
 2.4
 2
 32
 9
S12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 39
 95
 2.4
 5
 34
 12

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _2_ vs the _Carolina Panthers_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _2_ vs _Carolina Panthers____

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Player
 Play
2-7:00
 1/10/H21
 26
 PBU
2-2:50
 2/8/H21
 26
 INT
4-10:10
 3/8/O22
 30
 PBU
1-0:43
 2/10/H38
 55
 TFL
1-14:53
 3/10/O20
 56
 PBU
4-3:45
 2/9/H35
 56
 TFL
4-3:45
 2/9/H35
 59
 TFL
1-7:20
 1/10/O31
 57
 TFL
2-2:50
 2/8/H21
 57
 FR
4-12:50
 3/9/O28
 35
 QB SACK
4-12:50
 3/9/O28
 27
 QB SACK
4-13:30
 1/10/O27
 90
 PBU
1-6:50
 2/13/O28
 90
 QB RUSH
2-2:50
 2/8/H21
 93
 QB RUSH
4-11:22
 1/10/O20
 75
 TFL
4-11:22
 1/10/O20
 99
 TFL
2-4:33
 1/10/50
 99
 QB RUSH
2-1:38
 1/10/O14
 99
 PBU
4-14:10
 2/7/O20
 99
 PBU
1-12:00
 3/4/O21
 99
 QB RUSH
3-5:00
 1/10/H28
 99
 QB SACK

Here are the season totals for _2015___:
Player
 Name
 Splashes
99
 J.J. Watt
 15.5
90
 Jadeveon Clowney
 4.0
56
 Brian Cushing
 3.5
93
 Jared Crick
 2.0
26
 Rahim Moore
 2.0
57
 Justin Tuggle
 2.0
59
 Whitney Mercilus
 1.5
25
 Kareem Jackson
 1.0
55
 Benardrick McKinney
 1.0
30
 Kevin Johnson
 1.0
75
 Vince Wilfork
 0.5
35
 Eddie Pleasant
 0.5
27
 Quintin Demps
 0.5

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .
Player
 Name
 Splashes
99
 JJ Watt
 99.0
59
 Whitney Mercilus
 30.0
58
 Brooks Reed
 22.0
36
 D.J. Swearinger
 19.0
93
 Jared Crick
 19.5
56
 Brian Cushing
 14.0
25
 Kareem Jackson
 14.0
21
 Kendrick Lewis
 13.5
24
 Johnathan Joseph
 13.0
34
 A.J. Bouye
 13.0
54
 Mike Mohamed 
 11.0
50
 Akeem Dent
 9.5
26
 Darryl Morris
 8.0
57
 Justin Tuggle
 7.5
96
 Tim Jamison
 6.5
51
 John Simon
 5.5
20
 Jumal Rolle
 5.0
94
 Ryan Pickett
 5.0
29
 Andre Hall
 3.0
95
 Jerrell Powe
 3.0
38
 Danieal Manning
 3.0
90
 Jadeveon Clowney
 2.0
97
 Jeoffrey Pagan
 1.0
35
 Eddie Pleasant
 1.0

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.
Opposing Big Plays

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
4-9:02
 1/10/H36
 36 YD PA PASS
 4
4-5:05
 3/2/O37
 27 YD PA PASS
 5
2-11:40
 1/10/H25
 25 YD PASS
 5
3-6:50
 1/10/O36
 19 YD RUN
 4
2-13:26
 1/10/O25
 16 YD RUN
 4
2-4:29
 2/10/50
 15 YD PASS
 6

Defensive Big Play(s)

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
4-12:50
 3/9/O28
 QB SACK
 5
3-5:00
 1/10/H28
 QB SACK
 5
2-2:50
 2/8/H21
 INT
 4

Pass Rushers Against _Carolina Panthers_______ -   41  pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
 0
 0
 2
 0
 2
4 Rush
 7
 4
 4
 0
 15
5 Rush
 10
 7
 6
 0
 23
6 Rush
 0
 1
 0
 0
 1
7 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
0
 2
 4
 0
 6
4 Rush
 14
 12
 8
 0
 34
5 Rush
 16
 15
 12
 0
 43
6 Rush
 6
 1
 0
 0
 7
7 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals:   268  /686  -   39.1 %

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 1
 0
 1
3 Rush
11
 14
 19
 2
 46
4 Rush
 154
 134
 77
 4
 369
5 Rush
 54
 66
 43
 2
 165
6 Rush
 20
 19
 39
 2
 80
7 Rush
 7
 5
 7
 2
 21
8 Rush
 0
 1
 1
 0
 2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 2   -   Panthers         :   24 /  41  -   58.5 % 
Wk 1   -   KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals:   50/  90 -   55.5%



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