A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

How the Texans are using Watt and Clowney to get to the QB

Romeo Crennel has a problem.  How best to create pressure using JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney?

We know that JJ Watt can create havoc on his own as every Texans fan knows since he entered the league in 2011. 

Clowney was supposed to increase that havoc when Houston selected him 1st overall in the 2014 NFL Draft.  However he was slowed by injuries and transitioning to a brand new position that all but erased his rookie season.  That is not the case this year and he seems poised to become that impact player. Enter Romeo Crennel to develop a plan to do just that.

The Texans run a 3-4 defense when they are in their “base” formation, that means 3 down lineman and 4 linebackers.  Watt plays one of the down lineman positions usually on the offenses right side while Clowney lines up at outside linebacker on the opposite side from Watt.

However the Texans often go to a 4 man front in passing situations and can create match up issues for the opponent trying to block these two.

Prior to week 3, Crennel consistently rushed the passer with 4 down lineman, Clowney, Jared Crick, Vince Wilfork and JJ Watt from the offenses left to right.  It is important to note that he blitzed the opponent over 50% of the time in the first two games.

However things changed vs Tampa Bay.  Crennel decided to blitz less and try and generate pressure with just 4 and play more coverage.  This is smart considering he was matched up against a rookie QB in Jameis Winston, someone known for throwing into coverage at Florida State.

Crennel also changed where the alignment of his talented rushers lined up.

14:00 - 3Q - Tampa has the ball at their own 41 yard line and it is 3rd and 7.  The Bucs are in shotgun 11 personnel (1 TE, 1 RB).  I highlighted Watt in red and Clowney in yellow.  Texans also subbed Wilfork for Crick and Akeem Dent is the 4th rusher next to Clowney.


Clowney is lined up at the 3-technique, on the outside shoulder of the guard, and this position allows for 1 on 1 match up against a guard who are not known for pass protection.

The Bucs can keep their RB in to assist the guard with Clowney since the center won’t be able to slide out fast enough if the guard is beat off the snap to the outside.  They won’t forget about Watt who is isolated on their left tackle and therefore need to consider keeping the TE to double team Watt.

The offense would need to initially keep 7 players in to protect vs 4 rushers.  The Texans have the advantage with 7 defenders against just 3 receivers.

Lets see it in action.


This play resulted in an INT for Quintin Demps.

Romo Crennel dream scenario would to create 1 on 1 match ups for both Watt and Clowney.  This would create pressure without needing to blitz and put the secondary at risk to the big play.

The offense knows this and will slide protection to ensure they have adequate protection knowing the impact they can make.

Then how did this happen?

7:28 - 3Q - Tampa has the ball driving at the Texan 23 but it is 3rd down and 6.  A passing situation for Winston.  Clowney is at the 3-technique and this time, JJ Watt is next to him.


Crennel decides to brings 5 but notice that the RB pays no attention to Watt or Clowney on the left side.  The line slides left and keeps both the TE and RB for max protection, 7 vs 5 rushers.

This pass was targeted for Vincent Jackson for initially a TD but was later reversed and called incomplete.  The point is that Crennel was able to get 1 on 1 match ups for both his top pass rushers with the opponent in max protection bringing only one blitzer.

9:06 - 4Q - Houston has a 7 point lead after Alfred Blue’s 20 yard TD run.  Tampa has the ball to start the drive at their own 21, 1st and 10.  The Bucs are in shotgun but no RB is in the pocket leaving only the TE as an additional pass protector.  Crennel again has his rushers next to each other but this time Clowney on the outside.


The pass fell incomplete after yet another Jonathan Joseph pass breakup downfield and neither failed to generate pressure as they both took the same path to the QB.


The point is this match up favors the defense and is a red flag for offensive coordinators they will be studying going forward to stop.


Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 3 vs the Tampa Bay Bucs

Data from Week _ Home vs _Tampa Bay Bucs______: 

Run-Pass
45-41
Avg Starting Field Position
Own 24
1st Down Run-Pass
25-14
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
6
2nd Down Run-Pass
16-13
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
7
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
4-14
3rd Down Conversions
8-18

2015 Total through Week  3   .

Run-Pass
90-153
1st Down Run-Pass
49-57
2nd Down Run-Pass
32-49
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
9-48
3rd Down Conversions
20-49 (41%)

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 3   -   Home vs Tampa Bay Bucs 13  Drives -   7  Run/Pass   54 % Run

2015 Total:    41  Drives - _18     Run/_23   Pass _44  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 6

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _3_ - _Home vs Tampa Bay___ : _6/93 yards_ _15.5 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _2_ - _Away vs Panthers___ : _6/23 yards_ _3.8   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _8/81 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2015 Season Total: _20/197 yards_ _9.8 avg yards/play action pass
2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 36

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _3_   - _Home vs Tampa Bay___ : _36/86   _41.9_%
Wk _2_   - _Away vs Panthers___ : _58/84_ _69.0_% 
Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _44/73_ _60.3_%

2015 Season Total: _138/243   _ _56.8_% 
2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
3
13
4.3
1
2
11
23
160
7.0
20
3
12
8
57
7.1
5
3
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
20
1
-3
-3.0
1
0
21
8
22
2.7
6
2
22
6
35
5.8
6
0
23
1
1
1.0
1
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
S10
5
13
2.6
0
5
S11
28
111
4.0
5
23
S12
1
0
0.0
0
1
S21
2
6
3.0
0
2
Totals
86
415
4.8
45
41

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _3___.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
10
47
4.7
3
7
11
51
331
6.5
37
14
12
17
95
5.6
9
8
13
1
1
1.0
1
0
20
2
-3
-0.6
1
1
21
13
32
2.5
9
4
22
9
42
4.7
9
0
23
2
4
2.0
2
0
S00
0
0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0
0
0
S10
11
29
2.6
1
10
S11
119
500
4.2
17
102
S12
6
34
5.7
1
5
S21
2
6
3.0
0
2
Totals
243
1,112
4.6
90
153

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
0
0
0
0
0
0
23
1
1
1.0
1
0
0
S00
0
0
0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0
0
0
0
S10
2
0
0.0
0
2
1
S11
15
72
4.8
3
12
7
S12
0
0
0
0
0
0
S21
0
0
0
0
0
0
Totals
18
73
4.0
4
14
8

2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _3__.

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
2
3
1.5
2
0
1
23
2
4
2.0
2
0
1
S00
0
0
0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0
0
0
0
S10
4
7
1.7
0
4
2
S11
49
154
3.1
5
44
16
S12
0
0
0
0
0
0
S21
0
0
0
0
0
0
Totals
57
168
2.9
9
48
20

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _3_ vs the _Tampa Bay Bucs_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _3_ vs _Tampa Bay Bucs____

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Player
Play
4-9:06
1/10/O21
24
PBU
2-1:15
1/10/H46
24
PBU
1-3:18
3/6/O44
24
PBU
2-12:15
2/14/50
24
PBU
2-1:11
2/10/H46
30
PBU
2-12:11
3/14/50
30
TKL STOP FD
3-10:26
3/6/O41
34
PBU
1-12:24
1/10/O7
55
TFNG
3-8:12
2/6/H23
56
TFNG
3-4:27
1/10/O26
56
QB RUSH
1-3:58
2/5/O45
59
TFL
3-11:11
2/3/O44
90
TFNG
2-1:06
3/10/H46
93
QB RUSH
2-1:31
1/10/O33
99
TFL
2-5:45
2/10/O17
99
TFL
3-14:00
3/7/O41
90
QB RUSH
3-14:00
3/7/O41
27
INT
2-12:59
1/10/H46
95
TFL
2-12:59
1/10/H46
56
TFL

Here are the season totals for _2015___:

Player
Name
Splashes
99
J.J. Watt
17.5
90
Jadeveon Clowney
6.0
56
Brian Cushing
6.0
24
Jonathan Joseph
4.0
30
Kevin Johnson
3.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
2.5
93
Jared Crick
2.0
26
Rahim Moore
2.0
57
Justin Tuggle
2.0
55
Benardrick McKinney
2.0
27
Quintin Demps
1.5
25
Kareem Jackson
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
0.5
75
Vince Wilfork
0.5
95
Christian Covington
0.5

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .

Player
Name
Splashes
99
JJ Watt
99.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
30.0
58
Brooks Reed
22.0
36
D.J. Swearinger
19.0
93
Jared Crick
19.5
56
Brian Cushing
14.0
25
Kareem Jackson
14.0
21
Kendrick Lewis
13.5
24
Johnathan Joseph
13.0
34
A.J. Bouye
13.0
54
Mike Mohamed 
11.0
50
Akeem Dent
9.5
26
Darryl Morris
8.0
57
Justin Tuggle
7.5
96
Tim Jamison
6.5
51
John Simon
5.5
20
Jumal Rolle
5.0
94
Ryan Pickett
5.0
29
Andre Hall
3.0
95
Jerrell Powe
3.0
38
Danieal Manning
3.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
2.0
97
Jeoffrey Pagan
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
1.0

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.  We will first track opposing plays of 20 yards or more.

Opposing Big Plays
Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
4-13:39
1/10/O26
33 YD PASS
4
2-4:01
2/16/H32
32 YD PASS
4
2-1:22
3/10/O33
21 YD PASS
5
1-4:58
1/10/O20
20 YD PASS
5

Defensive Big Play(s)
Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
3-14:00
3/7/O41
INT
4

Pass Rushers Against _Tampa Bay Bucs_______ -   37  pass rush/blitz situations:
Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
1
1
3
0
5
4 Rush
6
5
6
0
17
5 Rush
4
4
3
0
11
6 Rush
2
1
1
0
4
7 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
1
3
7
0
11
4 Rush
20
17
14
0
51
5 Rush
20
19
15
0
54
6 Rush
8
2
1
0
11
7 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals:   268  /686  -   39.1 %

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
3 Rush
11
14
19
2
46
4 Rush
154
134
77
4
369
5 Rush
54
66
43
2
165
6 Rush
20
19
39
2
80
7 Rush
7
5
7
2
21
8 Rush
0
1
1
0
2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 3   -   Tampa Bay Bucs :   15 /  37  -   40.5 %
Wk 2   -   Panthers            :   24 /  41  -   58.5
Wk 1   -   KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals:   65/  127 -   51.2 %