A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Thursday, October 22, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 6 vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Data from Week _ Away vs _Jacksonville Jaguars______: 

Run-Pass
27-38
Avg Starting Field Position
Own 26
1st Down Run-Pass
19-10
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
9
2nd Down Run-Pass
4-16
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
7
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
4-12
3rd Down Conversions
9-15

2015 Total through Week  6  .
Run-Pass
162-292
1st Down Run-Pass
90-109
2nd Down Run-Pass
55-94
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
17-90
3rd Down Conversions
45-96 (47%)

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 6 -   Away vs Jacksonville Jaguars Drives -   4  Run/ 5 Pass   44 % Run

2015 Total:    72  Drives - _28     Run/_44   Pass _39  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 15

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _6_ - _Away vs Jacksonville __: 15/135 yards_ _9.0   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _5_ - _Home vs Colts ___   : _7/91   yards_ _13.0 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _4_ - _Away vs Falcons___   : _9/95   yards_ _10.5 avg yards/play action pass 
Wk _3_ - _Home vs Tampa Bay___: _6/93   yards_ _15.5 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _2_ - _Away vs Panthers___   : _6/23   yards_ _3.8   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs___  : _8/81   yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2015 Season Total: _51/518 yards_ _10.2 avg yards/play action pass
2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3   avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 19

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _6_   - _Away vs Jacksonville  : _19/65  _ 29.2_%
Wk _5_   - _Home vs Colts___ : _33/72  _ 45.8_%
Wk _4_   - _Away vs Falcons___ : _52/75  _ 69.3_%
Wk _3_   - _Home vs Tampa Bay_: _36/86   _41.9_%
Wk _2_   - _Away vs Panthers___ : _58/84_ _69.0_% 
Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs__: _44/73_ _60.3_%

2015 Season Total: _242/455  _ _ 53.2_% 
2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
8
38
4.8
4
4
11
13
124
9.5
6
7
12
6
33
5.5
4
2
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
21
8
22
2.8
3
5
22
10
31
3.1
8
2
23
1
2
2.0
1
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S02
0
0
0.0
0
0
S10
4
5
1.3
0
4
S11
14
129
9.2
1
13
S12
1
11
11.0
0
1
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
Totals
65
395
6.1
27
38


* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _6___.
Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
21
96
4.6
8
13
11
92
636
6.9
58
34
12
38
231
6.1
21
17
13
4
11
2.8
4
0
20
2
-3
-1.5
1
1
21
27
80
3.0
17
10
22
23
81
3.5
20
3
23
5
7
1.4
5
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S02
4
60
15.0
0
4
S10
20
80
4.0
1
19
S11
206
1,058
5.1
26
180
S12
9
51
5.7
1
8
S21
3
6
2.0
0
3
Totals
454
2394
5.3
162
292

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:
Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
22
4
6
1.5
3
0
2
23
1
2
2.0
1
0
1
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S02
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S10
3
5
1.7
0
3
1
S11
8
90
11.3
0
8
6
S12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
Totals
16
103
6.4
4
11
10

2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _5__.
Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
11
1
0
0.0
1
0
0
12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
22
6
9
1.5
5
0
3
23
3
6
2.0
3
0
2
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S02
3
60
20.0
0
3
2
S10
9
53
5.9
0
9
5
S11
84
404
4.8
8
76
34
S12
1
1
1.0
0
1
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
Totals
107
533
5.0
17
89
46

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _6_ vs the _Jacksonville Jaguars_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _6_ vs _Jacksonville Jaguars____
Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Player
Play
4-6:21
1/10/O29
24
PBU
1-11:50
3/3/O42
25
TKL SHORT FD
4-8:02
1/10/O26
29
INT TD
2-0:17
2/2/H10
29
INT
2-11:36
1/10/H15
30
PBU
4-1:09
3/10/H28
34
INT
4-4:43
3/1/O11
34
PBU
4-2:00
3/2/H32
51
QB SACK
4-5:19
1/1/O1
59
TFL
2-5:27
1/10/O31
59
QB RUSH
2-15:00
1/10/H38
59
QB SACK
4-1:17
1/10/H28
59
QB RUSH
2-3:18
2/6/O47
92
QB RUSH
3-15:00
1/10/O25
99
TFNG
4-7:13
1/10/O36
99
QB RUSH
2-0:49
1/10/H37
99
QB RUSH
4-10:11
3/3/O27
99
O. HOLDING
3-6:30
3/7/O39
99
PBU
3-13:30
3/4/O31
51,99
QB RUSH

Here are the season totals for _2015___:
Player
Name
Splashes
99
J.J. Watt
27.5
90
Jadeveon Clowney
9.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
8.5
56
Brian Cushing
8.0
24
Jonathan Joseph
7.0
30
Kevin Johnson
6.0
93
Jared Crick
3.0
57
Justin Tuggle
3.0
55
Benardrick McKinney
3.0
25
Kareem Jackson
3.0
51
John Simon
3.0
75
Vince Wilfork
2.5
95
Christian Covington
2.5
26
Rahim Moore
2.0
34
A.J. Bouye
2.0
29
Andre Hall
2.0
27
Quintin Demps
1.5
92
Brandon Dunn
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
0.5

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .
Player
Name
Splashes
99
JJ Watt
99.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
30.0
58
Brooks Reed
22.0
36
D.J. Swearinger
19.0
93
Jared Crick
19.5
56
Brian Cushing
14.0
25
Kareem Jackson
14.0
21
Kendrick Lewis
13.5
24
Johnathan Joseph
13.0
34
A.J. Bouye
13.0
54
Mike Mohamed 
11.0
50
Akeem Dent
9.5
26
Darryl Morris
8.0
57
Justin Tuggle
7.5
96
Tim Jamison
6.5
51
John Simon
5.5
20
Jumal Rolle
5.0
94
Ryan Pickett
5.0
29
Andre Hall
3.0
95
Jerrell Powe
3.0
38
Danieal Manning
3.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
2.0
97
Jeoffrey Pagan
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
1.0


Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.  We will first track opposing plays of 20 yards or more.

Opposing Big Plays

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
4-3:30
1/10/O20
29 YD PASS
4
3-0:10
3/9/H39
29 YD TD PASS
5
1-13:24
1/10/O10
25 YD PASS
4
3-1:37
1/10/O48
22 YD PASS
4
1-1:27
2/10/O25
21 YD PASS
4
4-6:46
1/10/H49
20 YD PASS
4

Defensive Big Play(s)

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
4-2:00
3/2/H32
QB SACK
4
2-15:00
1/10/H38
QB SACK
4
4-8:02
1/10/O26
INT FOR TD
4
2-0:17
2/2/H10
INT
3
4-1:09
3/10/H28
INT
4

Pass Rushers Against _Jacksonville Jaguars_______ -   60 pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
2
4
4
0
10
4 Rush
19
10
6
2
37
5 Rush
3
4
5
0
12
6 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
7 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
5
11
13
0
29
4 Rush
46
35
27
2
110
5 Rush
30
32
28
1
91
6 Rush
8
3
3
0
14
7 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals:   268  /686  -   39.1 %
Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
3 Rush
11
14
19
2
46
4 Rush
154
134
77
4
369
5 Rush
54
66
43
2
165
6 Rush
20
19
39
2
80
7 Rush
7
5
7
2
21
8 Rush
0
1
1
0
2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 6   -   Jacksonville :   13 /  60  -   21.7 %
Wk 5   -   Indianapolis Colts :   12 /  29  -   41.4
Wk 4   -   Atlanta Falcons :   16 /  29  -   55.2 %
Wk 3   -   Tampa Bay Bucs :   15 /  37  -   40.5 %
Wk 2   -   Carolina Panthers :   24 /  41  -   58.5
Wk 1   -   KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals:106 /  245 -   43.3 %