A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Decoding the Texans 2014 - Week 3



Data from Week _3_ vs _New York Giants______:

Run-Pass
18-44
Avg Starting Field Position
Own 22
1st Down Run-Pass
10-20
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
8.3 yards
2nd Down Run-Pass
6-13
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
7.6 yards
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
2-11
3rd Down Conversions
8/16

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here –

Wk 3 - _NY Giants_   : _13  Drives - _4_ Run/_9_ Pass
Wk 2 - _Oakland_      : _9_  Drives - _7_ Run/_2_ Pass
Wk 1 - _Washington_: _11_ Drives - _6_ Run/_5_ Pass

2014 Total:  33  Drives - _17_ Run/_16_ Pass _51  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.


Play Action Snaps – 5

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub, both of whom are now gone.  But the fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them, they have not been good enough to beat teams solely through the air.  Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _3_ - _NY Giants___       : _5/38   yards_ _7.6 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _2_ - _Oakland___          : _3/18   yards_ _6.0 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Washington___     : _6/119 yards_ _19.8 avg yards/play action pass

2014 Season Total: _14/175 yards_ _12.5 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 41

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. They had not thrown to the back once through the first 3 games and it leaves Fitzpatrick vulnerable to pressure. The Giants rarely blitzed nor did they have to playing with a lead but it is something to keep an eye on going forward.

Wk _3_ - _NY Giants___       : _41/62_ _66.1_%
Wk _2_ - _Oakland___          : _40/69_ _58.0_%
Wk _1_ - _Washington___     : _31/62_ _50.0_%

2014 Season Total: _112/193_ _58.0_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
11
3
4
1.3
2
1
12
12
54
4.5
10
2
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
21
5
32
6.4
3
2
22
0
0
0.0
0
0
23
1
0
0.0
1
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
S11
38
298
7.8
2
36
S12
3
9
3.0
0
3
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
Totals
62
397
6.4
18
44

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
12
3
4
1.3
2
1
0
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
22
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
23
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S11
10
23
2.3
0
10
2
S12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
Totals
13
27
2.1
2
11
2



Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _3_ at the _NY Giants_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _3_ at _NY Giants_______

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Player
Play

3/4/H13
26
PBU

1/10/O15
99
TFNG

1/10/O49
25
TFL

2/1/H1
54
TFNG

3/3/H15
99
TFL

2/7/H24
25
QB Rush

2/7/O31
99
QB Rush

3/2/H11
99
PBU

2/8/O35
99
QB Sack

2/7/H10
21
FF

2/7/H10
24
FR

3/8/O41
29
QB Rush

1/10/O39
25
PBU

Here are the season totals for _2014___:

Player
Name
Splashes
99
JJ Watt
16.0
58
Brooks Reed
6.0
36
D.J. Swearinger
6.0
25
Kareem Jackson
5.0
21
Kendrick Lewis
3.0
24
Johnathan Joseph
3.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
2.0
57
Justin Tuggle
2.0
93
Jared Crick
2.0
95
Jerrell Powe
2.0
54
Mike Mohamed
2.0
96
Tim Jamison
1.5
56
Brian Cushing
1.0
97
Jeoffrey Pagan
1.0
38
Danieal Manning
1.0
34
A.J. Bouye
1.0
26
Darryl Morris
1.0
29
Andre Hall
1.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
0.5

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  It’s too early to draw any conclusions off one game but one trend did show up versus Washington.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.

Opposing Big Plays
Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers

1/10/O33
15 yd Run
0

2/5/H24
15 yd Run
0

2/7/O31
18 yd Pass
4

2/6/O24
61 yd Pass
4

1/10/H26
26 yd Pass
7

1/10/O21
18 yd Run
0

Pass Rushers Against _NY Giants_______ - _28_ pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
3 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
4 Rush
8
4
3
0
15
5 Rush
4
4
2
0
10
6 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
7 Rush
1
1
0
0
2

Mentioned last week that Crennel got little predictable blitzing on 3rd down sending six or more that Washington did have opportunities to take advantage of.  It seems clear that they were going to attack rookie Derek Carr  on obvious passing situations regardless of the score.  The Texans were able to get stops on the first four 3rd down situations of the game when they brought 6 but were exploited in the 2nd half as the Raiders converted four straight.  However the outcome of the game was no longer in doubt.  It is interesting to see if the Texans continue to be predictable on 3rd down and put their secondary at risk of giving up the big play.  The blitz becomes ineffective if the offense knows it’s coming and has the weapons to exploit the secondary you just left out on an island.

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
3 Rush
0
1
0
0
1
4 Rush
35
24
11
0
70
5 Rush
6
9
5
0
20
6 Rush
2
3
8
1
14
7 Rush
3
1
0
0
4

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 3 - _NY Giants__ : _13 /_28_ - _46.4_%

Wk 2 - _Oakland__    : _25 /_45_ - _55.5_%

Wk 1 - _Washington_ : _9_ /_36_ - _25.0_%

Totals: _38_/_109_ - _34.9_%