A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Decoding the Texans 2014 - Week 2



Data from Week _2_ vs _Oakland______:

Run-Pass
48-21
Avg Starting Field Position
Own 44
1st Down Run-Pass
23-5
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
8.9 yards
2nd Down Run-Pass
18-7
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
7.6 yards
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
7-10
3rd Down Conversions
8/16

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here –

Wk 2 - _Oakland_      : _9_  Drives - _7_ Run/_2_ Pass
Wk 1 - _Washington_: _11_ Drives - _6_ Run/_5_ Pass

2014 Total:  20  Drives - _13_ Run/_7_ Pass _65  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 3

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub, both of whom are now gone.  But the fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them, they have not been good enough to beat teams solely through the air.  Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _2_ - _Oakland___          : _3/18   yards_ _6.0 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Washington___     : _6/119 yards_ _19.8 avg yards/play action pass

2014 Season Total: _9/137 yards_ _15.2 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 40

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendancy to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  They were in shotgun 11 an astounding 58% of the time against Oakland despite being in full control of the game.  It appears likely the Texans want to use shotgun at least initially as their base and keep defenses off balance by running the ball out of it early and often.

Example I – 1Q 11:18

It is the opening drive of the game and the Texans have a 2nd and 4 at the Oakland 41 yard line.  Houston opened up the drive in shotgun and ran it with Foster for 8 yards as Oakland came out in their nickel  to defend the pass.







Here we can see Oakland is in man coverage with Charles Woodson as the single high safety in the middle of the field. The corners are playing up on the receivers on the far side of the field.







The Texans are going to run it into the B gap between the guard Ben Jones and tackle Duane Brown.  The keys to the play is for Brown to seal off rookie Khalil Mack, Jones to get to the 2nd level and get a hat on the inside linebacker while the center Myers must handle the tackle.







The play works exactly as it was drawn up and Foster rumbles for 41 yards getting to the Raider 1 yard line before JJ Watt hauls in his first career offensive touchdown a few plays later.  The Texans offensive line were able to handle the Raiders front especially on the left side as Jones was able to use his impressive feet to get on the linebackers to give the backs plenty of room to run when in shotgun.

Wk _2_ - _Oakland___          : _40/69_ _58.0_%
Wk _1_ - _Washington___     : _31/62_ _50.0_%

2014 Season Total: _71/131_ _54.2_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
11
10
29
2.9
10
0
12
5
24
4.8
5
0
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
20
3
6
2.0
3
0
21
8
6
0.7
8
0
22
1
6
6.0
1
0
23
2
1
0.5
1
1
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
S11
39
255
6.5
19
20
S12
1
5
5.0
1
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
Totals
69
332
4.8
48
21

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
12
2
15
7.5
2
0
2
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
21
1
-1
-1.0
1
0
0
22
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
23
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S11
13
98
7.5
4
9
7
S12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
Totals
16
112
7.0
7
9
9


Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _2_ at the _Oakland_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _2_ at _Oakland_______

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Player
Play

1/10/O20
Justin Tuggle
TFL

1/10/O17
Justin Tuggle
QB RUSH

1/10/H31
Jared Crick
QB RUSH

1/10/H31
Kareem Jackson
INT

1/10/O44
Brian Cushing
TFL

2/4/O45
Kendrick Lewis
FF

2/4/O45
Johnathan Joseph
FF

2/4/O45
D.J. Swearinger
FR

1/10/O24
Kareem Jackson
PBU

2/10/H35
Jeoffrey Pagan
TFL

3/13/H38
D.J. Swearinger
FF

3/13/H38
Johnathan Joseph
FR

1/10/O20
Jerrell Powe
Drew O. Holding

3/16/O14
J.J. Watt
QB RUSH

2/4/H37
Danieal Manning
TFL

2/10/H33
Jerrell Powe
QB RUSH

3/4/O24
J.J. Watt
QB RUSH

3/4/O24
Brooks Reed
INT

2/10/50
Jared Crick
PBU

3/10/50
Whitney Mercilus
QB RUSH

1/10/H20
Tim Jamison
QB RUSH

4/10/H20
Mike Mohamed
QB RUSH

Here are the season totals for _2014___:

Player
Name
Splashes
99
JJ Watt
11.0
58
Brooks Reed
6.0
36
D.J. Swearinger
6.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
2.0
21
Kendrick Lewis
2.0
57
Justin Tuggle
2.0
93
Jared Crick
2.0
25
Kareem Jackson
2.0
24
Johnathan Joseph
2.0
95
Jerrell Powe
2.0
96
Tim Jamison
1.5
54
Mike Mohamed
1.0
56
Brian Cushing
1.0
97
Jeoffrey Pagan
1.0
38
Danieal Manning
1.0
34
A.J. Bouye
1.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
0.5

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  It’s too early to draw any conclusions off one game but one trend did show up versus Washington.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.

Opposing Big Plays
Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers

1/10/O21
23 yd Pass
4

2/4/O35
15 yd Pass
4

1/10/O24
15 yd Pass
4

2/10/O17
41 yd Run
4

Example II – 2Q 14:53

The second quarter has just begun and the Raiders are down 7-0.  It is their 2nd possession and looking at 2nd and 10 after an incomplete pass on the previous play.  They come out in shotgun and Houston is in their nickel defense with both safeties deep.








The Raiders call a zone read for their rookie QB Derek Carr, the play made famous by Vince Young at Texas.  It requires the QB to make the proper read of the defensive end to see if he is crashing down to pursue the RB or stay at home and contain the QB.
 







Brooks Reed (#58) crashes down to pursue the back McFadden and Carr makes the proper read to keep the ball and take off up field.
 







Carr ends up going for 41 on this play but he should of only gained 10-15 yards max, not 40 plus yards.  Safety Danieal Manning (#38) lost complete sight of the football and assume McFadden took the carry into the box and vacated half the field. This allowed what should of been a 10-15 yard play turn into a 41 yard carry for Carr.

The Raiders were able to drive inside the Texan 35 yardline before Carr threw his first interception of the day.
 
Pass Rushers Against _Oakland_______ - _45_ pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
3 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
4 Rush
15
11
3
0
29
5 Rush
2
3
2
0
7
6 Rush
1
1
4
1
7
7 Rush
2
0
0
0
2

Mentioned last week that Crennel got little predictable blitzing on 3rd down sending six or more that Washington did have opportunities to take advantage of.  It seems clear that they were going to attack rookie Derek Carr  on obvious passing situations regardless of the score.  The Texans were able to get stops on the first four 3rd down situations of the game when they brought 6 but were exploited in the 2nd half as the Raiders converted four straight.  However the outcome of the game was no longer in doubt.  It is interesting to see if the Texans continue to be predictable on 3rd down and put their secondary at risk of giving up the big play.  The blitz becomes ineffective if the offense knows it’s coming and has the weapons to exploit the secondary you just left out on an island.

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
3 Rush
0
1
0
0
1
4 Rush
27
20
8
0
55
5 Rush
2
5
3
0
10
6 Rush
2
3
7
1
13
7 Rush
2
0
0
0
2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 1 - _Washington_ : _9_ /_36_ - _25.0_%

Wk 2 - _Oakland__    : _25 /_45_ - _55.5_%

Totals: _34_/_81_ - _42.0_%

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