A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Saturday, December 29, 2012

Top 200 Prospects 2013 NFL Draft

Thanks to National Football Post...These are the top 200 prospects for the 2013 NFL Draft.

I love keeping this list as this is based off their performances of the entire regular season.  Bowl game performances, all-star games, combine results or interviews have not had a chance to influence their draft grades. 

In March, I will post a updated top 200 list to compare what players have risen or fallen based off factors that had zero influence on these played the game of football when it mattered.


Rank Name Pos School
1 Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
2 Jake Matthews OT Texas A&M
3 Star Lotulelei DT Utah
4 Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
5 Chance Warmack OG Alabama
6 Keenan Allen WR California
7 Kenny Vaccaro S Texas  
8 Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
9 Taylor Lewan OT Michigan
10 Dion Jordan DE Oregon
11 Dee Milliner CB Alabama
12 Jessie Williams DT Alabama
13 Alec Ogletree ILB Georgia
14 Manti Te'o ILB Notre Dame
15 Jonathan Hankins DT Ohio State
16 Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
17 Sam Montgomery DE LSU
18 Quinton Patton WR Louisiana Tech
19 Tler Eifert TE Notre Dame
20 Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
21 Jonathan Cooper OG North Carolina
22 Jonathan Banks CB Mississippi State
23 Ezekial Ansah DE BYU
24 Robert Woods WR USC
25 Oday Aboushi OT Virginia
26 Corey Lemonier DE Auburn
27 Zach Ertz TE Stanford
28 Geovani Bernard RB North Carolina
29 Kawann Short DT Purdue
30 Terrance Williams WR Baylor
31 Kevin Minter ILB LSU
32 Michael Glennon QB North Carolina State
33 Arthur Brown ILB Kansas State
34 Kyle Van Noy OLB BYU
35 Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
36 Brandon Jenkins OLB Florida State
37 James Tyler Wilson QB Arkansas
38 DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
39 Cordelle Patterson WR Tennessee
40 Geno Smith QB West Virginia
41 Matt Barkely QB USC
42 Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
43 Barrett Jones CB Alabama
44 D.J. Fluker OT Alabama
45 Eric Reid S LSU
46 Khaseem Greene OLB Rutgers
47 Melvin White CB Louisiana-Lafayette
48 Cobi Hamilton WR Arkansas
49 Damontre Moore DE Texas A&M
50 Montee Ball RB Wisconsin
51 Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
52 Stedman Bailey WR West Virginia
53 Cornel Carradine DE Florida State
54 Sharif Floyd DT Florida  
55 Anthony Barr OLB UCLA
56 Matt Elam ATH Florida
57 Justin Pugh OT Syracuse
58 Aaron Dobson WR Marshall
59 Slyvester Williams DT North Carolina
60 Andre Ellington RB Clemson
61 Margus Hunt DE SMU
62 Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU
63 Chase Thomas OLB Stanford
64 Akeem Spence DT Illinois
65 Tony Jefferson ATH Oklahoma
66 Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
67 Joseph Randle RB Oklahoma State
68 Shayne Skov ILB Stanford
69 James Gayle DE Virginia Tech
70 David Amerson ATH North Carolina State
71 Da'Rick Rogers WR Tennessee Tech
72 Jordan Poyer CB Oregon State
73 Robert Lester ATH Alabama
74 Chris Harper WR Kansas State
75 Jelani Jenkins OLB Florida
76 Ticory Grissom NT South Florida
77 Richard Wagner OT Wisconsin
78 Aaron Murray QB Georgia
79 Marquess Wilson WR Washington State
80 Kenny Stills WR Oklahoma
81 Zaviar Gooden OLB Missouri
82 William Gholston DE Michigan State
83 Will Davis CB Utah State
84 Lawrence Warford OG Kentucky
85 Tyler Bray QB Tennessee
86 Jordan Reed TE Florida
87 Aaron Klein OLB Iowa State
88 Nico Johnson OLB Alabama
89 Jamie Collins OLB Southern Miss
90 Leon McFadden CB San Diego State
91 Corey Fuller WR Virginia Tech
92 Erik Manuel QB Florida State
93 Jonathan Brown OLB Illinois
94 Landry Jones QB Oklahoma
95 Brandon Magee OLB Arizona State
96 Dallas Thomas OT Tennessee
97 Travis Frederick OG Wisconsin
98 Zac Dysert QB Miami (OH)
99 Michael Williams ATH Nevada
100 Kyle Fuller CB Virginia Tech
101 Blidi Wreh-Wilson CB Uconn
102 Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
103 Kyle Long OT Oregon
104 Quintin Williams ATH Georgia
105 Dennard Robinson ATH Michigan
106 Kevin Reddick ILB North Carolina
107 Michael Gillislee RB Florida
108 Michael Mauti OLB Penn State
109 Brennan Williams OT North Carolina
110 Mychal Rivera TE Tennessee
111 Stepfan Taylor RB Stanford
112 John Simon DE Ohio State
113 Bradley McDougald ATH Kansas  
114 Brent Russell DT Georgia Southern
115 DJ Swearinger ATH South Carolina
116 Etienne Sabino OLB Ohio State
117 Joshua  ATH Florida
118 Marcus Davis WR Virginia Tech
119 Terry Hawthorne CB Illinois
120 John Jenkins DT Georgia
121 Jacob Knott OLB Iowa State
122 Christine Michael RB Texas A&M
123 Sheldon Price CB UCLA
124 Brandon Williams DT Missouri Southern
125 Phillip Thomas ATH Fresno State
126 Ryan Lacy CB Utah
127 Chris Borland MLB Wisconsin
128 Dennis Johnson RB Arkansas
129 Jordan Hill DT Penn State
130 Cyril Richardson OT Baylor
131 Malliciah Goodman DE Clemson
132 Bacarri Rambo S Georgia
133 Hugh Thornton OG Illinois
134 Brian Winters OT Kent State
135 Cierre Wood RB Notre Dame
136 Devin Taylor DE South Carolina
137 Gerald Hodges OLB Penn State
138 Johnathan Franklin RB UCLA
139 Khaled Holmes OC USC
140 John Wetzel OT Boston College
141 Mike Buchanan DE Illinois
142 Joseph Fauria TE UCLA
143 Ryan Swope WR Texas A&M
144 Oscar Johnson OT Louisiana Tech
145 Anthony White NT Michigan State
146 Tim McDonald Jr ATH USC
147 Everette Dawkins DT Florida State
148 Wes Horton DE USC
149 Anthony McCloud NT Florida State
150 Seantrel Henderson OT Miami  
151 La'veon Bell RB Michigan State
152 Chris Jacobson OG Pittsburgh
153 Chris Norman OLB Michigan State
154 Phi Lutzenkirchen TE Auburn
155 Chris Gragg TE Arkansas
156 Kaleb Ramsey DT Boston College
157 Stacy McGee DT Oklahoma
158 Sean Porter OLB Texas A&M
159 Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
160 Darryl Stonum WR Baylor
161 Marquis Jackson DE Texas Southern
162 Datone Jones DE UCLA
163 Curtis McNeal RB USC
164 Devon Christopher WR Utah
165 Jamal Miles WR Arizona State
166 Josh Boyd DT Mississippi State
167 Chris Holloman ATH South Carolina
168 Donald Coles WR Virginia Tech
169 Keith Pough OLB Howard
170 Sanders Commings CB Georgia
171 Tyrann Mathieu CB LSU
172 Zach Mettenberger QB LSU
173 Marquise Goodwin WR Texas 
174 Kenneth Tate OLB Maryland
175 Ramon Buchanan OLB Miami
176 Michael Burkhead RB Nebraska
177 Johnny Adams CB Michigan State
178 Devin Street WR Pittsburgh
179 Kenjon Barner RB Oregon
180 Raymond Graham RB Pittsburgh
181 Xavier Nixon OT Florida
182 Nathaniel Williams DE Ohio State
183 Jared Smith DT New Hampshire
184 Brian Mulroe OG Northwestern
185 Markus Wheaton WR Oregon State
186 Montori Hughes DT Tennessee Martin
187 Desmond Trufant CB Washington  
188 Jonathan Bostic ILB Florida
189 John Sullen OG Auburn
190 Drew Frey ATH Cincinnati
191 Montel Harris RB Temple
192 Benjamin Cotton TE Nebraska
193 John White RB Utah
194 Alex Okafor DE Texas
195 Luke Marquardt OT Azusa Pacific
196 Matt Scott QB Arizona  
197 Joseph Vellanodt ATH Maryland
198 David King DE Oklahoma
199 Collin Klein QB Kansas State
200 Daimion Stafford ATH Nebraska

How will Ranger nation handle this team rebuilding?

Make no bones about it.  GM Jon Daniels and Inc. are rebuidling the Rangers roster.

They had a plan to try and quickly reload it and still be a contender in the AL West.  All those plans fell apart and they have decided to play all the kids.

Fresh off a season where Rangers ballpark set the record for highest attendance in club history, not going to be the case this year.  Unfortunately for hardcore fans, ticket prices will not be adjusted, mini game plans will not be adjusted.  You will be expected to pay the same dollar that most were happy to pay for a team fresh off back to back AL titles.

But how will fans react to paying the same increased amount for a rebuilding team, the team had a payroll of $120,510,975 in 2012.

If the team gets off a good start like it did in 2012, it won't matter.  People will pay for a winner regardless of the heat or commute from Dallas or Ft. Worth.  However what happens if the team gets off to a 8-15 start like the Angels did in 2012?

We have to expect this team is going to fall back to earth in a sense next year, they are going to depend on 3 rookies make serious impacts immediately (Profar, Olt and Perez).  They are depending on a starting pitcher to ace the staff after one year of major league experience, history suggest a sophomore slump will happen especially considering threw over 195 innings last year.  I suppose offensively the team will lean on Kinsler, Beltre and Cruz to be the focus, all of whom have durability questions or severe consistency issues.

The good news is the team has some interesting trade pieces to deal at the deadline if they are out of the running, mainly Pierzynski, Colby Lewis, Nelson Cruz and Joe Nathan.

If they happen to hang with the Angels in the west, they have the prospects and payroll flexibility to take on a plus quality player even if its a huge contract. I just don't see this team able to stick with the halos or even the defending division champs Athletics.

The franchise will ask for your patience and tell you how good Jurickson Profar, Mike Olt, Martin Perez and even Leonys Martin will be.  Fact is the odds of successfully hitting on a prospect is 30% so of the 4 mentioned, confident only one of them will be a top major league player.

The team should basically sell this season off, trade as many veterans at the deadline as teams will take, get your prospects and enter next offseason in a buying frenzy.  Trade those prospects for the right pieces to take this roster to the next level.

One disturbing trend I noticed during the 2012 offseason is a team fresh of a record payroll was scared to pull the trigger in free agency. The fact is GM Daniels is you will almost ALWAYS overpay in free agency for a quality player. You resign your own, trade for players or develop your prospects if you want to stay away from wide open free agency. They are going to try the cheap route in 2013 since the record payroll of 2012 did not yield the desired results.

Friday, December 21, 2012

Can't tell me the Rangers had this in mind

Reminds me to the Mavericks pipe dream of the 2012 offseason plan of signing Deron Williams, then trade for Dwight Howard to quickly build a contender. The plan fell apart and so did the backup plans.

The Rangers find themselves in a similiar state but with a few thankful alternatives I will mention shortly. They hoped to sign Zack Greinke to shore up the rotation and give them a dominating 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Then use the farm system to acquire a top bat and allow them to move on from Josh Hamilton, the names involved were Justin Upton or even resign Hamilton.

The Rangers organization were involved in almost every rumor involving top players at the winter meetings but refused to trade any of the top prospects. Other teams moved on simply leaving the Rangers on the outside looking in. Greinke went to the Dodgers, Arizona acquired a average safety in a multi-team trade and decided they were better off not trading Upton and for kicks, Hamilton signed for 5-years with AL West rival LA Angels De California.

So incase you missed it, here's what the Rangers have done thus far.

Lost
Mike Napoli (deal still pending with Red Sox)
Mike Adams
Koji Uhera
Josh Hamilton

Traded away Mike Young

Signed
Joakim Soria (Recovering from Tommy John surgery)
AJ Pierzynski

This team is weak in the middle of the lineup with no bats that will intimidate opposing pitchers. Only Adrian Beltre has the bat to consistently beat teams with power  but he will have no one to protect him. Nelson Cruz is not the consistent power threat to be that kind of guy and AJ might fill that role but it seems wishful thinking at this point.

Management has been mute on the plans for Kinsler this year, his job at second is in jeopardy as Jurickson Profar will be given every opportunity to take his job at spring. Does he move to first base or left field? I like Kinsler's bat and I want him more in a role he can drive more runs in than a simple solo shot to start a game. I am against having him as a leadoff guy, would rather have Andrus in that role. I like the idea of Profar in the 9 spot with Andrus at leadoff, Murphy at 2nd followed by Kinsler, Beltre and AJ.

The team is also weak in the bullpen as well as the back end of the rotation. The team has said they will make Alexi Ogando a starter this year despite a huge hole as a 8th inning power relief pitcher. Ogando was an excellent starting pitcher two years ago but faded fast down the stretch. This team is going to have to win with pitching and defense, the offense will have trouble scoring consistently. I value starting pitching over a set up man, I'd rather have Ogando in the rotation where he has success at the ML level and acquire a veteran set up reliever prior to spring training. I understand the arguement need to be strong in the bullpen especially when team will have trouble scoring runs but same is true if you are down 4 nothing after two innings.

I expect Robbie Ross will become a extremely consistent reliever and become that set up man until Soria returns from his surgery to form a solid back end of the bullpen as well as a future closer in Soria when Joe Nathan heads to free agency next year.

Friday, November 30, 2012

Don't fall for this team

I'm going to start this saying that I think Dallas loses to the Eagles at the death star Sunday night. All I needed to know is most "experts" picked the Cowboys to win and people are taking the koolaid that with some players returning from injury, things will change and this team will suddenly be able to fix their problems and get it together.

What in this teams history, meaning under Jason Garrett and Jerry make you think this team is any way capable of doing that?

So they will lose and the season will be all but mathematically lost eventhough we've known this for weeks regardless.  So what would a good organization do at this point?  How about finding out if you have any young players in need of playing time to see what you have there?  Maybe find out if Lance Dunbar can replace Felix Jones as backup runner with 10-12 carries and trusted in pass protection?  What about if Dwayne Harris can become the 3rd wide receiver and play outside with Austin in the slot?  And maybe we can see what that athletic rookie tight end James Hannah can do for a struggling offense, bless John Phillips but he's not a receiving threat at all.  Oh and speaking of a struggling offense which has been blamed on a poor offensive line, how about benching the 64th rated most efficient offensive tackle in the NFL, that would be Doug Free for Jeremy Parnell. According to twitter @DCBlueStar, Parnell has played 158 snaps with 1 sack, 2 hits and 6 hurries. And if that David Arkin is a prospect, give the kid a shot to play on Sunday or cut him from the roster.

Give looks off other teams practice squad and shake up the bottom of the roster, create uncertainty Jason Garrett and use the only power tool you have in your set, change the playing time for players underperforming.

Unfortunately, this team is not doing any of that because this is a poorly run organization that has a solid front loaded core team that has accepted losing as not that big a deal. This mentality is confirmed by the total lack of accountability in all 3 phases of the organization, ownership, coaching staff and the players.

Instead, we will hear the company line that they will battle hard but still lose, miss the playoffs and enter another offseason of frustration with salary cap jail on the horizon, roster filled with underperforming veterans, an aging core, no organizational identity and no confidence in the GM to turn it around.

Friday, November 23, 2012

Happy Thanksgiving to all but Cowboys & Longhorns do their best to ruin the football holiday.

I am going to post all details but the basic message here is I am for tearing the Cowboys organization down and rebuild. The core is beyond its prime and there is zero hope for adding enough quality pieces to fill in the gaps in time. This means I am for firing Jason Garrett, Rob Ryan.  I am ofcourse for firing Jerry Jones the GM.

I trade Tony Romo, Miles Austin and all of them for the draft picks. Start over.  It means everyone must go, Jason Witten, DeMarcus Ware.  As frustrating it seems like we can't just fix the offensive line and add a safety, that can make this a winning team right?  Unfortunately no because I fully believe this Cowboys core has accepted losing which cannot be undone if they considered the core of the team. The only hope is adding a leadership core that does not accept losing quick enough to refuel the aging veterans already in place. However there is zero confidence in the GM  to get this done.

As far as the Longhorns, they will enter the offseason again searching for stability at the QB position. David Ash regressed  as did the Texas Defense failing to wrap up ballcarries especially in the secondary and the defensive line inability to escape blocks to contain the running game. They will continue to be a non factor in the Big 12 title much less a national championship aslong as they have instability at QB. In my opinion, David Ash has not proved he can consistently beat a Defense with his arm and definitely not his feet. Case McCoy is a good backup and can jumpstart a offense in a pinch but is not the answer big picture in Austin.  The goals this offseason must be  to see what Connor Brewer and new recruit Tyrone Swoopes can do, Mack must be a leader and make the tough decision to find a QB  to restore the program back to prominence. The second most important goal is make this defense go into tackling drills everyday in practice period, can no longer accept practicing safe to avoid injuries,  the lack of tackling on this entire squad hurt the team from week 1 through  Thanksgiving.

Sucks to be a fan of these teams but the eternal optimism that the NFL Draft and college recruiting brings each year leaves hope but the facts suggest it is not going to happen in the near future.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Steelers cut Ta'amu

The Steelers cut rookie nose tackle Alameda ta'amu just weeks after a drunken driving arrest. He was 3rd on their depth chart and just fell out of favor there. I would put in a claim on him as fast as possible, if only our teams GM priority was about finding players to upgrade the roster. #canwefiretheowner

Ta'amu was the most ideal two-gap nose tackle in the 2012 draft and he destroyed the South's offensive line in the Senior Bowl. He needs a fresh start and this is just a rookie! I wanted him as high as the second round and the #steelers got him early in the 4th. Maybe the #cowboys can finally get something from the 4th round of the 2012 draft with Ta'amu since neither Matt Johnson or Kyle Wilbur have done ANYTHING on defense.

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Trimming the fat off this Cowboy team

I get sick looking at these numbers of under performing players making too much money and interesting to see how many were on the list of questionable moves when they were brought in.

Doug Free - $5.3 million

Perhaps the Cowboys most disappointing offensive lineman especially in regard to compensation is Doug Free. He can't hold up in pass protection and just really struggles vs counter moves from even average NFL pass rushers. His run blocking has been better and more so when he pulls and can get out in space. Bottom line, he should not be starting on this team and I need to find out what I have in Jeremy Parnell during this year before I add offensive tackle to need list in the offseason. But I highly doubt Parnell will see the field without an injury because this organization does not have faith in playing young players on the offensive line.

Dez Bryant - $3.6 million

Outside of the offensive line, no other player is holding back the offensive line more than Dez, simple as that. Romo has little to no confidence in Bryant, the more simplified the offense gets the more of a contribution this knucklehead can make. He is the poster boy for lack of accountability, preparation and football IQ that is flooding throughout the entire roster. His route running, attitude and character have not improved to the level expected in his NFL career and I would be trying desperately to trade him in the offseason, seriously Jacksonville asking for Laurent Robinson straight up. But this organization will continue to throw Dez out there and he will frustrate you to the point you want to bench him, then during the same game make a play that makes you think "if only he was consistent, oh what a player."

Orlando Scandrick - $2.9 million

Dallas paid Scandrick to go along with Mike Jenkins to form a solid tandem of corners to last them next 5-6 years, plan didn't work. Unfortunately for Scandrick, he's still the same player he was as a rookie, a solid cover corner but who is not a consistent tackler, comfortable pressing at the line nor able to make a play on the ball when in position. He's a solid nickel corner but he's paid like a top starting corner.

Marcus Spears & Kenyon Coleman - $2.7 and $2.3 million totalling $5 million

The strongside defensive end position has been a sore spot for Dallas for years and they keep thinking former first round pick Marcus Spears is going to show up. He's a 2 down run stuffing end who gives you nothing as a pass rusher and even when Spears is in position to stuff the run, rarely does he finish the play. His impact would be solid if he finished plays he is in position to make. Yet because Dallas had no depth, they resigned Spears to an extension that he did not earn. Coleman has been an adequate player for Dallas mostly because they put him in position that he is most comfortable in, 2-down run stuffer and just bull rush in pass rush situations. Unlike Spears, Coleman plays his role well stuffing the run and just simply not allowing anywhere for ballcarriers to go. These players are situational average players but paid like full-time solid starters, wasted money. This team should insert Sean Lissemore into the starting lineup once he returns from injury and move on from these guys in the offseason. Develop and play your younger players.

Dan Connor - $2.1 million

Unfortunately for Connor, he never had the inside track to the inside linebacker job as second year pro Bruce Carter took the job and ran with it. I argued when Dallas signed Connor that he did not fit the scheme as he was not the thumper inside backer needed to stand up to guards in the hole, stack and shed blockers to make plays in the running game. Connor was a huge liability in man coverage at Carolina and hoped he could step up in Sean Lee's absence as the weakside inside backer job better suited his skills. Then he got hurt and now just seems the season will be lost for him. He is signed through next season and would provide good depth behind Lee but again, he is not well suited for the thumper backer job in Dallas.

Felix Jones - $1.8 million

If it wasn't for Dez, Felix would be the most frustrating offensive player on this team. Fact is, he still is. First of all, he let a 3rd round pick take his job last year in DeMarco Murray and then showed up out of shape to training camp this year failing the opening conditioning test. Factor in several times he's run without confidence, showing poor vision and a lack of burst we saw as a rookie. He is as good as gone in the offseason and with Murray's lack of ability to stay healthy, runningback will again be on the list of needs in the offseason.

Mackenzy Bernadeau - $1.8 million Dallas signed Bernadeau knowing he was not a finished nor a day one plug in and go starter after being a backup during his time in Carolina. They were hoping to find a player on the rise and give him an opportunity to play. Unfortunately they have gotten a above average run blocker and a below average pass blocker. His play has improved since nearly being benched in favor of Derrick Dockery but fact is, the quality of play for Bernadeau is not on the level of the contract given.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

Favorite draft prospect in some trouble

One of my favorite 2012 draft targets was nose tackle Alameda Ta'amu from Washington. He was drafted in the 4th round by the Steelers, well he was arrested early Sunday morning and charged with aggravated assault, aggravated assault by vehicle and felony fleeing police following a traffic incident. Ta'amu fled police after he reportedly crashed into four parked cars, injuring a woman in the process. Ta’amu has yet to play this season. Thanks to GBN report

Bad to worst on Longhorn Injury Front

Well from bad to worst. Longhorn pass rusher Jackson Jeffcoat will miss the rest of the season. He suffered a right pectoral injury during the OU loss Saturday.

Texas' depth along the Dline was already in bad shape, this does not help. This should mean Jeffcoat will return to Austin next year instead of opting for the NFL Draft.

Brandon Moore was carted off the field with a neck injury was released from the hospital Sunday with all test results coming back normal.

Also on the injury front, test have confirmed QB David Ash has a broken wrist on his non-throwing arm and will be out for 2-3 weeks according to sources. He has not been officially ruled out of the Baylor game but Case McCoy should start for the Horns. Keep an eye out for freshman Connor Brewer to get some snaps as well.

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Copy cat league changing thoughts on QB prospects

The success of RG3, Cam Newton, Russell Wilson and even Andrew Luck has teams reconsidering the way they rate the QB coming out of college.

I find this absolutely ridiculous, does a QB need to be a runner, no but does he have to be athletic to side step the rush?  Yes most definitely.

There is a difference between the two.  The NFL has taken so many steps to protect the QB to ensure offenses continue to succeed to put points on the board which keeps butts in the seats as well as viewers watching on TV. Fact

All bets are off when it comes to protecting the QB as soon he becomes a runner. Yes, they can still slide to avoid a tackle but if you are running inside consistently, you are going to get your guy roughed up. It takes a toll on your thrower and can impact the entire team, ask Phildelphia.

Personally, your QB needs to have the athleticism to extend a play with his feet but complete it with his arm. Teams mortgage their future to hit on a franchise QB (Washington) and why in the hell would you put your most prized and valuable commodity in a position to take more hits.

A QB prospect that cannot extend the play with his feet and beat you with his arm should be not be a high prospect regardless. A QB that can only run the ball but struggles to beat you through the air can be easily defeated in the NFL.  They can get away with it in college but not in the pros.  Fact until proven otherwise where it counts, Super Bowls son!

The count is still at zero!  Ask Philadelphia (Vick, Randall Cunningham), Denver (Tebow), Minnesota (Tavaris Jackson), Dallas (Quincy Carter), Tennessee (Vince Young) and Pittsburgh (Kordell Stewart). The arguement can go on forever debating whether or not the likes of John Elway, Steve Young, Steve McNair and Donovan mcNabb were running QBs or QBs who could extend plays with their feet but beat you with their arm.

Fact is there are about 15-20 great to quality quarterbacks capable of handling an NFL offense and beating a defense consistently on Sundays, that means there are less than one for every team in the NFL. With the hopes of a championship riding on keeping your quarterback in the game, again I ask, why in the hell would you put them in that position to take more hits?

I am not changing what I look for in a NFL QB prospect, a good arm, anticipate your throws with accuracy, plus footwork, progress through your reads, find passing lanes and extend the play with your feet but beat the defense with your arm.

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Cowboys vs Seahawks recap

Cowboys vs Seahawks recap

- Dallas once again could control the line of scrimmage offensively, the tackles Tyron Smith and Doug Free did not perform well. Smith had his worst game of his short career but was abused in pass protection as well as blitz pick up. Free was better than his Giants performance but if you are happy with a C- grade I suppose you can be happy about that.

Factor in all the drops by Dez Bryant and Jason Witten, simply could not get any rhythm offensively. The offense flows through DeMarco Murray and since they could not run the ball consistently, and receivers not help Romo.

Defensively, the gameplan was to play coverage vs Russell Wilson and force the rookie to throw into lots of coverage where Rob Ryan figures is the strength of his unit. He did not want to blitz Wilson due to the fear he would beat the Cowboys with his feet where he is most comfortable. It is a good theory unless you spot your opponent 10 points before the fans get to their seats. Factor in that the Cowboys D could not control the defensive line of scrimmage either and that let Marshawn Lynch to pound the ball consistently especially in the second half.

Then to complete the recipe of defeat, the special teams unit fumbles the opening kickoff and gives up a blocked punt which was Dan Connor's screw up for a touchdown. Game over

How good is Ranger pitching?

The Rangers are poised to make a 3rd consecutive postseason appearance while at the same time completely re-loading their starting rotation. 

2010 did it with Cliff Lee, C.J. Wilson and Colby Lewis with a rookie Tommy Hunter as well.
2011 They almost won a world series with a very shaky rotation, C.J. Wilson, Colby Lewis, Derek Holland Matt Harrison filling out the rotation.

Introduce the 2012 rotation and the entire 2010 postseason rotation is gone, Matt Harrison, Derek Holland, Ryan Dempster and rookie Yu Darvish.

That is unbelievable to reload a rotation like that without breaking the bank or your farm system, are they even better?  Check out these numbers.

The Rangers projected postseason starting rotation since the middle of August.

Ryan Dempster
Since August 20th
36 1/3, 31 hits, 13 walks with 36 strikeouts. ERA of 2.97

Derek Holland
Since August 22
42 Innings Pitched, 33 hits, 9 walks with 38 strikeouts. ERA of 2.78

Matt Harrison
Since August 14th
46 2/3 IP, 40 hits, 11 walks, 33 strikeouts. ERA of 3.09 and its 1.96 if you take out his 5 & 1/3 inning start where he gave up 7 runs to Tampa Bay.

Yu Darvish:
Since August 17th
41 Innings Pitched, 17 hits, 9 walks with 48 strikeouts. ERA of 1.76
Only given up 8 hits in month of September.


Does this team have an ace? No they do not, what they do have is depth and that gives them an edge in a long series. Texas will be at a disadvantage in a elimination game versus another teams No.1 starter as this offense has failed to consistently produce in 2012 especially with Josh Hamilton and Michael Young in the heart of the lineup.

Friday, September 14, 2012

Cowboys vs Giants using coaches film (Part V)



5. So much of the talk in camp and preseason was the rebuilt offensive line but most forgot the secondary was almost rebuilt returning only one starter in Sensabaugh. We had to expect some mistakes from Claiborne but had to be pleased with his performance not giving up easy receptions and especially no big plays surrendered either. However there were a few technique flaws to his game that can tip their hand to the opponent especially with his footwork

He got schooled by Bradshaw on a running play to give up a touchdown, a corner has to make that tackle or find a way to force him back inside to his help. He can't do what he did and give up an easy score.

Church was also making his first start, very impressed with his style playing a downhill aggressive safety who is not afraid of contact. I showed earlier his ability to get in the passing lane and be in position to make a play on the ball and just miss on it. It sure seems Rob Ryan has faith in the kid playing him close to the line but his aggressiveness will be used against him at some point this year.

Just for fun. I want to post my favorite play of the game, the Miles Austin touchdown to seal the game.  I marked it as a negative read by Romo but sometimes great players just make great plays regardless.

6:26-4Q-1st and 30. Obvious pass play, this is not a good read by Romo. Austin is double covered but the trust they have makes him throw it.



Pays off as Austin goes for it at the highest point inside the coverage. Touchdown Dallas. All but seals the game.

Cowboys vs Giants using coaches film (Part IV)



4. Dallas is going against the sound idea that the Giants have used to two superbowl championships, superior pass rush can cover up a suspect secondary. The Cowboys are trying to win with superior coverage and move Demarcus Ware all over to generate consistent pressure as well as confuse opposing quarterbacks with pre-snap movement.

Historically, Dallas blitzes Eli often almost 40% of the time without success, he has proved to be one of the league's best when pressure as he trust his receivers to go up and get the ball.

The gameplan was to show different looks with the safeties in the box, show blitz and then occasionally back out into deep half coverage. Then allow Brandon Carr and rookie Morris Claiborne to get physical at the line jamming the receivers and not give up the easy reception. It helps a lot when you don't have Terence Newman and Alan Ball as easy targets for Eli.

Throughout the first quarter either Church or Sensabaugh lined up in the box showing blitz but backed out of it. This time he would be coming and obviously Manning thought pre-snap he was going to back out of it.

15:00-2Q-43 in box but previous times had darted back into deep half coverage. This time 43 blitzes off edge, misses sack but 94 finishes the play. Sack

 They catch the giants in a playaction with the fullback releasing up the middle. Sensabaugh has to finish the play but Ware is there.


Fast forward to the third quarter, pre-snap suggest two safeties back in deep half coverage, Manning is so good looking off his primary receiver then coming back. Dallas has seen it for years and beaten so often. However Barry Church is an aggressive safety who also hasn't been beaten badly in coverage yet. He is sitting in zone just playing the 10 yard curl and then undercut the route. He is in perfect position to make a play on the ball but just misses it. Play call was perfect.

10:19-3Q-Giants 1st and 10. Play is 10 yard curl to 80. Cowboys show man, 2 safeties deep. Both LBs in tight. 42 is playing that curl to make a play on that ball.

 Dangerous to double move since he's playing aggressive like that. Here it works and almost gets a INT.


Carr's debut in Cowboy blue was good but by no means perfect. He is a smart corner who understands times when to be aggressive and when to back off to just not give up the deep ball. He was not a shutdown corner nor the aggressive tackler but he is the efficient corner who just does not give up many receptions especially deep ones.

13:43-4q-3rd down, giants in shotgun. 42 lines up in box, then just prior to snap backs out of it. Historically Dallas blitzed and pressured Eli a lot in passing but left secondary vulnerable. Rob Ryan used this history against Eli and it worked most of the night.

No blitz, coverage sack as Eli with no where to go with ball. Unlike last year, there is no Alan Ball or Newman to easily target for completions in secondary. 31 Butler sticks like glue to underneath route, 93 with inside pressure and 97 finishes the play with sack.


It wasn't all good as the Giants still had opportunities.  The first one is one play Carr would like to forget.


6:31-3Q-3rd and 4 for Giants. Cowboys in nickel D appear to be playing cover 3 with Mana Silva responsible for the middle of the field. Carr is playing off. Play goes to 87 runs a go route inside of Carr. Manning fires as soon as 87 clears 43, Carr is in perfect position to undercut the route and at the very least knock the ball away.


However he times his jump terribly and Silva cannot close fast enough to knock the ball away. The scheme worked but player execution failed Rob Ryan's team.


10:50 in the 1st quarter brings up a Giants 3rd and 5.  Victor Cruz is the slot on Eli's left side.  They will be running a pick play with the outside receiver cutting to the inside hopefully to "accidentally" pick off the defender lined up on Cruz.


 The Giants tried this route several times throughout the game but Dallas was either in off coverage or seamlessly picked up the receivers not giving the instant separation as on this play.

Cowboys vs Giants using coaches film (Part III)



3. For the second year in a row, most draft freaks were screaming for Dallas to draft a powerful run stuffing nose tackle and push Jay Ratliff to end. The logic was allow Ratliff to become a dominating end in a 3-4 and improve the run defense with the giant nose tackle to stuff the inside run. Josh Brent would get that chance along with versatile Sean Lissemore with Ratliff recovering from the high ankle sprain.

I wrote during the preseason that Jason Hatcher got off to a great start in 2011 before cooling off down the stretch but should be Dallas' first excellent 3 down interior lineman outside of Ratliff. Hatcher had a dominating game just having Giants lineman Kevin Boothe #77 at his fingertips most of the night. He made plays in the running game, keeping separation then locate the ballcarrier to make a play on the ball. Josh Brent did an excellent job as a two gap nose tackle allowing Sean Lee & Bruce Carter a clean route to the back. Lissemore cooled in the preseason after a red hot training camp but showed the ability to be stout at the point of attack and finish plays against the run.

14:49-4Q-92 plays two gap nose well. 54 unblocked as mike backer and fills hole vs back, jukes to outside and 54 speed allows him to still stuff the run.

 Kenyon Coleman did not allow the pulling guard to create a huge hole and Brent is crashing down from his nose tackle spot. Carter is in position to stuff whichever hole Bradshaw decides to take.


I wrote in the preseason that Dallas would have quality depth along the defensive line and their performance in week 1 to withstand a injury and control the line of scrimmage vs the Giants backs up that claim. A long way to go for sure.

Cowboys vs Giants using the coaches film (Part II)



2. I am not a fan of Kevin Ogletree, did not want him on the roster prior to training camp nor any shot at the 3rd receiver job. I felt he had been given several opportunities and failed them as well as a poor special teams player just gave no value to this team. I am happy to be proved wrong at least for one week.

He has a ways to go to make people forget about Robinson but a good start for sure not to mention starting a gigantic wave of waiver claims in the fantasy world after his performance. Folks do need to tape the breaks slightly when it comes to Ogletree, the Giants focused their attention at Miles Austin with double coverage and their other experienced corner Webster against Bryant. Ogletree had the benefit of working against the backups of an already depleted secondary so he should have had a good game. Most of his first half receptions came on slants in which he easily got a inside release off the snap for a simple slant catch. The ability to work himself open for the touchdown.

10:32 in the 3rd quarter. The pre-snap read shows cover 1 meaning one safety in the middle playing center field. Ogletree is lined up on an experienced corner #23 Corey Webster. Ogletree is going to run a double move which takes a while to develop. Romo gets pressure from the right side, Doug Free's man gets inside on him thanks to a counter move. However one of Romo's strengths is extending plays and fires the ball with Ogletree even with Webster which means he is beaten.  The ability to get find the open spot in the redzone and run good routes downfield without blazing speed are Robinson traits and a good start for Ogletree.



 Webster bites hard at the 30 yard line, Romo fires with no hope for the safety to get over nor the corner time to recover.
 Here you can see Uymenora setting up Free outside then knocking him off balance with the right arm jumping inside.

Cowboys vs Giants using the coaches film (Part 1)



Dallas surprises the football world beating the Giants on the road on opening night for a big division win.  How did they do it?

It took me several days to watch all the film and analyze what it means.  I had to a few questions I started with and find the answers.

1. How did the new offensive line do against perhaps the best pass rush in football?
2. Is Kevin Ogletree the new Laurent Robinson?
3. How did Dallas defensive line consistently stuff the Giants running game?
4. What did Rob Ryan do to keep Eli's passing game in check?
5. How did first year starters Barry Church & Morris Claiborne in their debuts?

I will post in five sections addressing these questions.

Lets get started.

1. The outlook was not good heading into this one with Jason Pierre-Paul vs Tyron Smith at left tackle, his first career start on the left side. Nate Livings coming over from the Bengals, known as a better pass blocker than in the running game, highly suspect Phil Costa, Mackenzy Bernadeau who wasn't a full time starter with the Panthers and Doug Free hoping for the 2010 Free vs the 2011 one.

The right guard Bernadeau is supposed to be a power run blocking guard with poor footwork and hand placement in pass protection.  He doesn't do much to change that thinking as early on in the first quarter, he gives up almost immediate penetration, Murray doesn't react quickly enough to help his guard and down goes Romo. He let the defensive tackle get his hands into his body and all his upper body is for not.

 


Phil Costa does not make it out of the first quarter with a back injury, I did not see the injury on film but honestly Costa gets knocked on his tail so often from last season it doesn't surprise me. Insert newly acquired Ryan Cook, #63, to play center with less than a week of practice in Dallas.


10:45 in 2nd Quarter.  Cook gives up pressure back into Romo who can't get the ball off like he wants. Kevin Ogletree is coming across the middle but runs behind the linebacker. By this point the ball has already left Romo's hands for the interception. It was a extremely small window for Romo and the ball should not been thrown here but Ogletree did not do any favors to his quarterback.

This is the window Romo was throwing into when he fired the ball, the linebacker in red just sitting in the middle of the field drifting toward Ogletree.


As the ball arrives, he has extended his route 4 yards downfield which gives the defender perfect room to jump in front for the easy pick. Bad read by Romo, pressure by Cook and receiver not helping matters with the route.


Doug Free is the weakest link on the team, keeping in mind that he had to keep the Giants pass rush at bay but keeping in mind the preseason and training camp, Free has not improved.  He is extremely susceptible to counter moves and Uymenora defeated him regularly as did Pierre-Paul. The competition will get easier in week 2 but the 2012 version of Doug Free is far too much like 2011 than 2010.

Free was not alone in his struggles at tackle, Tyron Smith had a hard time keeping Pierre-Paul at bay but the younger player who's a first round pick will get the benefit of the doubt. He did get better in the 2nd half as did most of the line as well, running the ball with success can do that to a pass rushing team. I graded Nate Livings as the most consistent lineman, as expected better in pass protection than getting push in the running game but was plenty serviceable.  Neither of the guards were good at pulling either missing the moving target or getting no push once they locked on.