A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 4 vs Atlanta Falcons

Data from Week _ Away vs _Atlanta Falcons______: 

Run-Pass
18-57
Avg Starting Field Position
Own 18
1st Down Run-Pass
9-24
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
9
2nd Down Run-Pass
8-17
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
8
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
1-16
3rd Down Conversions
6-15

2015 Total through Week  4   .

Run-Pass
108-210
1st Down Run-Pass
58-81
2nd Down Run-Pass
40-66
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
10-64
3rd Down Conversions
26-64 (41%)


Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 4  -   Away vs Atlanta Falcons 13  Drives -   3  Run/ 10 Pass   30 % Run

2015 Total:    54  Drives - _21     Run/_33   Pass _39  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 9

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _4_ - _Away vs Falcons___ : _9/95 yards_ _10.5 avg yards/play action pass 
Wk _3_ - _Home vs Tampa Bay_ : _6/93 yards_ _15.5 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _2_ - _Away vs Panthers___ : _6/23 yards_ _3.8   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs__ : _8/81 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2015 Season Total: _29/292 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass
2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 52

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _4_   - _Away vs Falcons___ : _52/75  _ 69.3_%
Wk _3_   - _Home vs Tampa Bay : _36/86   _41.9_%
Wk _2_   - _Away vs Panthers___ : _58/84_ _69.0_% 
Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs_ : _44/73_ _60.3_%

2015 Season Total: _190/318  _ _ 60.0_% 
2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
11
9
85
9.4
3
6
12
3
21
7.0
1
2
13
3
10
3.3
3
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
21
4
21
5.2
3
1
22
2
4
2.0
1
1
23
2
1
0.5
2
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
S11
50
292
5.8
5
45
S12
1
1
1.0
0
1
S21
1
0
0.0
0
1
Totals
75
435
5.8
18
57

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _4___.

Package
Plays Run
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
10
10
47
4.7
3
7
11
60
416
6.9
40
20
12
20
116
5.8
10
10
13
4
11
2.7
4
0
20
2
-3
-0.6
1
1
21
17
53
3.1
12
5
22
11
46
4.2
10
1
23
4
5
1.2
4
0
S00
0
0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0
0
0
S10
11
29
2.6
1
10
S11
169
792
4.7
22
147
S12
7
35
5.0
1
6
S21
3
6
2.0
0
3
Totals
318
1547
4.9
108
210

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
22
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
23
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S00
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S10
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
S11
16
110
6.9
1
15
6
S12
1
1
1.0
0
1
0
S21
0
0
0.0
0
0
0
Totals
17
111
6.5
1
16
6

2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _4__.

Package
Plays
Yards
Avg/Play
Run
Pass
FD/TD
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
2
3
1.5
2
0
1
23
2
4
2.0
2
0
1
S00
0
0
0
0
0
0
S01
0
0
0
0
0
0
S10
4
7
1.7
0
4
2
S11
65
264
4.0
6
59
22
S12
1
1
1.0
0
1
0
S21
0
0
0
0
0
0
Totals
74
279
3.8
10
64
26

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _4_ vs the _Atlanta Falcons_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _4_ vs _Atlanta Falcons____

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Player
Play
1-10:52
3/5/H49
30
TKL SHORT FD
4-2:50
2/10/O20
51
TFL
1-5:58
1/10/O29
56
TFL
1-5:26
1/10/O32
56
O. HOLDING
2-3:02
1/10/H47
57
TFNG
2-9:31
1/10/O18
59
TFNG
3-7:48
1/10/O41
59
O. HOLDING
1-14:17
2/8/O31
90
PBU
1-4:19
2/10/O32
93
QB SACK
4-9:09
1/10/O24
95
TFL
3-4:20
1/10/H13
99
TFL
2-2:19
2/10/H47
99
PBU
2-13:28
3/10/O34
99
QB SACK
4-14:22
1/10/O20
99
TFL
4-14:22
1/10/O20
51
TFL

Here are the season totals for _2015___:

Player
Name
Splashes
99
J.J. Watt
21.0
56
Brian Cushing
8.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
7.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
4.5
24
Jonathan Joseph
4.0
30
Kevin Johnson
4.0
93
Jared Crick
3.0
57
Justin Tuggle
3.0
75
Vince Wilfork
2.5
26
Rahim Moore
2.0
55
Benardrick McKinney
2.0
27
Quintin Demps
1.5
95
Christian Covington
1.5
51
John Simon
1.5
25
Kareem Jackson
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
0.5

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .

Player
Name
Splashes
99
JJ Watt
99.0
59
Whitney Mercilus
30.0
58
Brooks Reed
22.0
36
D.J. Swearinger
19.0
93
Jared Crick
19.5
56
Brian Cushing
14.0
25
Kareem Jackson
14.0
21
Kendrick Lewis
13.5
24
Johnathan Joseph
13.0
34
A.J. Bouye
13.0
54
Mike Mohamed 
11.0
50
Akeem Dent
9.5
26
Darryl Morris
8.0
57
Justin Tuggle
7.5
96
Tim Jamison
6.5
51
John Simon
5.5
20
Jumal Rolle
5.0
94
Ryan Pickett
5.0
29
Andre Hall
3.0
95
Jerrell Powe
3.0
38
Danieal Manning
3.0
90
Jadeveon Clowney
2.0
97
Jeoffrey Pagan
1.0
35
Eddie Pleasant
1.0

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.  We will first track opposing plays of 20 yards or more.

Opposing Big Plays

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
3-11:41
3/3/O39
55 YD PASS
5
2-5:12
2/10/O44
44 YD PASS
5
1-9:29
3/6/H40
24 YD PASS
5
2-14:45
1/10/H23
23 YD TD RUN
4

Defensive Big Play(s)

Q-Time
D/D/Yd
Play
Rushers
1-4:19
2/10/O32
QB SACK
5
2-13:28
3/10/O34
QB SACK
5

Pass Rushers Against _Atlanta Falcons_______ -   29  pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
1
1
1
0
3
4 Rush
4
3
3
0
10
5 Rush
2
7
7
0
16
6 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
7 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
3 Rush
2
4
8
0
14
4 Rush
24
20
17
0
61
5 Rush
22
26
22
0
70
6 Rush
8
2
1
0
11
7 Rush
0
0
0
0
0
8 Rush
0
0
0
0
0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals:   268  /686  -   39.1 %

Pass Rushers
1st D
2nd D
3rd D
4th D
Total
2 Rush
0
0
1
0
1
3 Rush
11
14
19
2
46
4 Rush
154
134
77
4
369
5 Rush
54
66
43
2
165
6 Rush
20
19
39
2
80
7 Rush
7
5
7
2
21
8 Rush
0
1
1
0
2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 4   -   Atlanta Falcons :   16 /  29  -   55.2 %
Wk 3   -   Tampa Bay Bucs :   15 /  37  -   40.5 %
Wk 2   -   Panthers :   24 /  41  -   58.5
Wk 1   -   KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals:  81/  156 -   52.0 %


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