A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 5 vs Indianapolis Colts

Data from Week _5  Home vs _Indianapolis Colts______: 

Run-Pass
 27-44
Avg Starting Field Position
 Own 19
1st Down Run-Pass
 13-18
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
 8
2nd Down Run-Pass
 11-12
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
 7
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 3-14
3rd Down Conversions
 10-17

2015 Total through Week  5   .

Run-Pass
 135-254
1st Down Run-Pass
 71-99
2nd Down Run-Pass
 51-78
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 13-78
3rd Down Conversions
 36-81 (44%)

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 5  -   Home vs Indianapolis Colts :  9  Drives -   3  Run/ 6 Pass   33 % Run

2015 Total:    63  Drives - _24     Run/_39   Pass _38  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.
Play Action Snaps – 7

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _5_ - _Home vs Colts ___ : _7/91 yards_ _13.0 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _4_ - _Away vs Falcons___ : _9/95 yards_ _10.5 avg yards/play action pass 
Wk _3_ - _Home vs Tampa Bay_ : _6/93 yards_ _15.5 avg yards/play action pass
Wk _2_ - _Away vs Panthers___ : _6/23 yards_ _3.8   avg yards/play action pass
Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs__ : _8/81 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2015 Season Total: _36/383 yards_ _10.6 avg yards/play action pass
2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3   avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 33

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _5_   - _Home vs Colts___ : _33/72  _ 45.8_%
Wk _4_   - _Away vs Falcons___ : _52/75  _ 69.3_%
Wk _3_   - _Home vs Tampa Bay : _36/86   _41.9_%
Wk _2_   - _Away vs Panthers___ : _58/84_ _69.0_% 
Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs_ : _44/73_ _60.3_%

2015 Season Total: _223/390  _ _ 57.2_% 
2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 3
 11
 3.7
 1
 2
11
 19
 96
 5.0
 12
 7
12
 12
 82
 6.8
 7
 5
13
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
21
 2
 5
 2.5
 2
 0
22
 2
 4
 2.0
 2
 0
23
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
S02
 4
 60
 15.0
 0
 4
S10
 5
 46
 9.2
 0
 5
S11
 23
 137
 6.0
 3
 20
S12
 1
 5
 5.0
 0
 1
S21
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
Totals
 71
 446
 6.3
 27
 44

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _5___.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 13
 58
 4.5
 4
 9
11
 79
 512
 6.5
 52
 27
12
 32
 198
 6.2
 17
 15
13
 4
 11
 2.7
 4
 0
20
 2
 -3
 -0.6
 1
 1
21
 19
 58
 3.0
 14
 5
22
 13
 50
 3.8
 12
 1
23
 4
 5
 1.2
 4
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S02
 4
 60
 15.0
 0
 4
S10
 16
 75
 4.7
 1
 15
S11
 192
 929
 4.8
 25
 167
S12
 8
 40
 5.0
 1
 7
S21
 3
 6
 2.0
 0
 3
Totals
 389
 1,993
 5.1
 135
 254

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
11
 1
 0
 0.0
 1
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
22
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
23
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
S02
 3
 60
 20.0
 0
 3
 2
S10
 2
 41
 20.5
 0
 2
 2
S11
 11
 50
 4.5
 2
 9
 6
S12
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0.0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 17
 151
 8.9
 3
 14
 10

2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _5__.

Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 1
 0
 0
 1
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
22
 2
 3
 1.5
 2
 0
 1
23
 2
 4
 2.0
 2
 0
 1
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S02
 3
 60
 20.0
 0
 3
 2
S10
 6
 48
 8.0
 0
 6
 4
S11
 76
 314
 4.1
 8
 68
 28
S12
 1
 1
 1.0
 0
 1
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 91
 430
 4.7
 13
 78
 36

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _5_ vs the _Indianapolis Colts_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _5_ vs _Indianapolis Colts____

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Player
 Play
1-6:39
 3/4/H30
 24
 PBU
3-9:23
 3/4/O43
 24
 PBU
4-12:10
 2/9/H13
 25
 HARD HIT
2-1:38
 3/4/O38
 30
 PBU
4-15:00
 1/10/H39
 55
 TFNG
2-9:01
 1/10/H31
 90
 TFL
2-12:05
 2/8/O49
 90
 TFNG
4-11:20
 1/1/H1
 95
 TFL
2-7:48
 3/3/H24
 99
 O. HOLDING

Here are the season totals for _2015___:

Player
 Name
 Splashes
99
 J.J. Watt
 22.0
90
 Jadeveon Clowney
 9.0
56
 Brian Cushing
 8.0
24
 Jonathan Joseph
 6.0
30
 Kevin Johnson
 5.0
59
 Whitney Mercilus
 4.5
93
 Jared Crick
 3.0
57
 Justin Tuggle
 3.0
55
 Benardrick McKinney
 3.0
75
 Vince Wilfork
 2.5
95
 Christian Covington
 2.5
26
 Rahim Moore
 2.0
25
 Kareem Jackson
 2.0
27
 Quintin Demps
 1.5
51
 John Simon
 1.5
35
 Eddie Pleasant
 0.5

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.  We will first track opposing plays of 20 yards or more.

Opposing Big Plays

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
4-1:37
 3/6/O20
 43 YD PASS
 4
3-14:16
 1/10/H35
 24 YD PASS
 5
1-2:06
 1/10/H27
 23 YD PASS
 5
3-14:50
 1/10/O44
 21 YD PASS
 5
1-8:33
 1/10/O44
 20 YD RUN
 4

Defensive Big Play(s)

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
NONE




Pass Rushers Against _Indianapolis Colts_______ -   29  pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
 1
 3
 1
 0
 5
4 Rush
 3
 5
 4
 0
 12
5 Rush
 5
 2
 1
 1
 9
6 Rush
 0
 1
 1
 0
 2
7 Rush
 0
 0
 1
 0
 1
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
3
 7
 9
 0
 19
4 Rush
 27
 25
 21
 0
 73
5 Rush
 27
 28
 23
 1
 79
6 Rush
 8
 3
 2
 0
 13
7 Rush
 0
 0
 1
 0
 1
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals:   268  /686  -   39.1 %

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 1
 0
 1
3 Rush
11
 14
 19
 2
 46
4 Rush
 154
 134
 77
 4
 369
5 Rush
 54
 66
 43
 2
 165
6 Rush
 20
 19
 39
 2
 80
7 Rush
 7
 5
 7
 2
 21
8 Rush
 0
 1
 1
 0
 2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 5   -   Indianapolis Colts :   12 /  29  -   41.4 % 
Wk 4   -   Atlanta Falcons :   16 /  29  -   55.2 %
Wk 3   -   Tampa Bay Bucs :   15 /  37  -   40.5 %
Wk 2   -   Carolina Panthers :   24 /  41  -   58.5 % 
Wk 1   -   KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals: 93/  185 -   50.3 %




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