A scouts perspective

A scouts perspective

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Decoding the Texans - Week 1

Data from Week _1   Home vs _Kansas City Chiefs______: 

Run-Pass
 20-53
Avg Starting Field Position
 Own 19
1st Down Run-Pass
 12-23
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
 9
2nd Down Run-Pass
 6-17
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
 8
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 2-13
3rd Down Conversions
 3-11

2015 Total through Week _1_.
Run-Pass
 20-53
Avg Starting Field Position
 Own 19
1st Down Run-Pass
 12-23
2nd Down Avg Distance to Go
 9
2nd Down Run-Pass
 6-17
3rd Down Avg Distance to Go
 8
3rd/4th Down Run-Pass
 2-13
3rd Down Conversions
 3-11

Drive Starters – The 1st play of each drive can often reveal the intent of a coach to establish his game plan. How committed is he to the run or pass when the team comes off the sideline? We track it each week here – 

Wk 1   - _Home vs KC Chiefs :  14  Drives - _5_ Run/_9_ Pass

2015 Total:    14  Drives - _5    _ Run/_9  _ Pass _36  % Run
2014 Total:  186  Drives - _100_ Run/_86_ Pass _54  % Run

* This statistic doesn’t count any 1-play kneel down drives.

Play Action Snaps – 8

Play-action had been the Texan’s calling card under Gary Kubiak and Matt Schaub thanks to the legs of Arian Foster.  The team continued to use playaction to generate big plays especially to DeAndre Hopkins in 2014.  The fact remains that this offense goes as far as their running game takes them with the continued question mark at quarterback. Here we will track those snaps.

Wk _1_ - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _8/81 yards_ _10.1 avg yards/play action pass

2014 Season Total: _92/676 yards_ _7.3 avg yards/play action pass

Shotgun Snaps – 44

Shotgun snaps are fine on 3rd down and in the 2 minute drill. But, we track this stat from week to week to make sure the Texans aren’t getting too lazy in using it. The NFL run/pass split across the league is 15%/85% and most teams rarely run out of the shotgun with any time of consistent success. Bill O’Brien is showing a tendency to be in shotgun a lot and run the ball out of it, a lot.  The Texans consistently split the running back out wide when in shotgun I assume wanting to exploit a matchup on the perimeter. It remains to be seen whether they have the personnel to do it but thats a separate issue.

Wk _1_   - _Home vs KC Chiefs___ : _44/73_ _60.3_%

2014 Season Total: _543/1,058_ _51.3_%

Here is the breakdown by groupings:

Before you study the data below, I would recommend that if the numbers for the groupings are unfamiliar, that you spend some time reading a more expanded definition of the Personnel Groupings here.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 19
 149
 7.8
 10
 9
12
 6
 21
 3.5
 2
 4
13
 1
 1
 1.0
 1
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 1
 2
 2.0
 1
 0
22
 2
 4
 2.0
 2
 0
23
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 3
 0
 0
 0
 3
S11
 38
 199
 5.2
 3
 35
S12
 3
 28
 9.3
 1
 2
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 73
 404
 5.5
 20
 53

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

2015 Season to Date Totals through Week _1___.

Package
 Plays Run
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 19
 149
 7.8
 10
 9
12
 6
 21
 3.5
 2
 4
13
 1
 1
 1.0
 1
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 1
 2
 2.0
 1
 0
22
 2
 4
 2.0
 2
 0
23
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 3
 0
 0
 0
 3
S11
 38
 199
 5.2
 3
 35
S12
 3
 28
 9.3
 1
 2
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 73
 404
 5.5
 20
 53

* - Knee Plays are not counted in play calls.

Totals by Personnel Groups on 3rd/4th Down:

Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
22
 1
 0
 0.0
 1
 0
 0
23
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 1
 0
 0.0
 0
 1
 0
S11
 13
 28
 2.1
 1
 12
 3
S12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 15
 28
 1.9
 2
 13
 3


2015 Season to Date Totals on 3rd/4th Down through Week _1__.

Package
 Plays
 Yards
 Avg/Play
 Run
 Pass
 FD/TD
10
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
11
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
13
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
20
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
22
 1
 0
 0.0
 1
 0
 0
23
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S00
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S01
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S10
 1
 0
 0.0
 0
 1
 0
S11
 13
 28
 2.1
 1
 12
 3
S12
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
S21
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
Totals
 15
 28
 1.9
 2
 13
 3

Splash Plays

Let’s take a look at the “Splash Plays” from Week _1_ vs the _KC Chiefs_:

Splash Plays are key impact plays from the defense. Usually, they are obvious, but there are some that blur the line. I have listed time and play of each one for those who want to double check my work.

For more, read a detailed explanation of this study here: What is a splash play?

Week _1_ vs _KC Chiefs____

Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Player
 Play
2-2:40
 3/3/H48
 25
 QB rush
3-4:50
 1/10/O35
 56
 QB rush
4-7:00
 3/1/H32
 56
 TFNG
1-11:28
 3/8/H43
 59
 PBU
4-3:15
 1/10/O35
 90
 TFL
3-12:20
 3/1/O29
 90
 TFNG
1-11:40
 2/8/H43
 93
 PBU
1-8:40
 1/10/O17
 99
 TFL
4-13:30
 1/10/O41
 99
 TFL
2-8:15
 1/10/H32
 99
 TFL
3-13:36
 1/10/O20
 99
 TFNG
4-3:30
 2/6/O24
 99
 QB rush
2-11:25
 2/9/H10
 99
 QB rush
2-7:35
 2/11/H33
 99
 QB sack
3-4:00
 3/8/O37
 99
 QB sack
3-8:50
 3/10/H40
 99
 QB rush
4-11:25
 3/9/H43
 99
 O. Holding

Here are the season totals for _2015___:

Player
 Name
 Splashes
99
 J.J. Watt
 10.0
90
 Jadeveon Clowney
 2.0
56
 Brian Cushing
 2.0
93
 Jared Crick
 1.0
59
 Whitney Mercilus
 1.0
25
 Kareem Jackson
 1.0

Here are the season totals for _2014___: _328 .

Player
 Name
 Splashes
99
 JJ Watt
 99.0
59
 Whitney Mercilus
 30.0
58
 Brooks Reed
 22.0
36
 D.J. Swearinger
 19.0
93
 Jared Crick
 19.5
56
 Brian Cushing
 14.0
25
 Kareem Jackson
 14.0
21
 Kendrick Lewis
 13.5
24
 Johnathan Joseph
 13.0
34
 A.J. Bouye
 13.0
54
 Mike Mohamed 
 11.0
50
 Akeem Dent
 9.5
26
 Darryl Morris
 8.0
57
 Justin Tuggle
 7.5
96
 Tim Jamison
 6.5
51
 John Simon
 5.5
20
 Jumal Rolle
 5.0
94
 Ryan Pickett
 5.0
29
 Andre Hall
 3.0
95
 Jerrell Powe
 3.0
38
 Danieal Manning
 3.0
90
 Jadeveon Clowney
 2.0
97
 Jeoffrey Pagan
 1.0
35
 Eddie Pleasant
 1.0

Blitzing Report

Romeo Crennel has been around the NFL for over 30 years with the past 12 spent as either a head coach or a defensive coordinator.  He is known for being an aggressive coordinator who isn’t afraid to blitz and blitz often.  He is not going to stand back and play coverage on most 3rd downs, he will bring the heat and force the issue on the QB.

Opposing Big Plays
Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
1-4:45
 1/10/H42
 42 yd pass
 4
2-8:55
 1/10/O49
 19 yd pass
 5
2-14:30
 2/1/O45
 17 yd pass
 4
1-8:04
 3/12/O15
 17 yd pass
 4
4-12:45
 2/11/O40
 16 yd pass
 4

Defensive Big Play(s)
Q-Time
 D/D/Yd
 Play
 Rushers
3-4:00
 3/8/O37
 QB sack
 5
2-7:35
 2/11/H33
 QB sack
 5


Pass Rushers Against _KC Chiefs_______ - _39_ pass rush/blitz situations:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
 0
 2
 2
 0
 4
4 Rush
 7
 8
 4
 0
 19
5 Rush
 6
 8
 6
 0
 20
6 Rush
 6
 0
 0
 0
 6
7 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the full season numbers to date:

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
3 Rush
0
 2
 2
 0
 4
4 Rush
 7
 8
 4
 0
 19
5 Rush
 6
 8
 6
 0
 20
6 Rush
 6
 0
 0
 0
 6
7 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
8 Rush
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

And, here are the 2014 Season Totals: _268_/_686_ - _39.1_%

Pass Rushers
 1st D
 2nd D
 3rd D
 4th D
 Total
2 Rush
 0
 0
 1
 0
 1
3 Rush
11
 14
 19
 2
 46
4 Rush
 154
 134
 77
 4
 369
5 Rush
 54
 66
 43
 2
 165
6 Rush
 20
 19
 39
 2
 80
7 Rush
 7
 5
 7
 2
 21
8 Rush
 0
 1
 1
 0
 2

The game by game pressure numbers:

Wk 1   - _KC Chiefs :   26 /  49  -   53.1 %

Totals:   26 /  49  -   53.1 %


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