A scouts perspective
Sunday, January 27, 2013
Cowboys cap situation and cuts
Penalty - $6,180,000
Net Gain: 2,880,000
So bottom line if you cut Free & Ratliff only save $3,880,000
Dan Connor - $4,350,000
Penalty - $1,350,000
Net Gain - $3,000,000
Gerald Sensabaugh - $3,750,000
Penalty - $2,250,000
Net Gain - $1,500,000
Marcus Spears - $2,700,000
Penalty - $2,100,000
Net Gain - $600k
Miles Austin - $8,302,000
Penalty - $4,710,000
Net Gain - $3,592,000
Even if you made all these cuts would clear: $12,572,000.
Also would mean you would have $16,590,000 in dead money on 2013 cap.
Sunday, January 13, 2013
Sports Corner SHow Notes 1/13/12
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Top 200 Prospects 2013 NFL Draft
I love keeping this list as this is based off their performances of the entire regular season. Bowl game performances, all-star games, combine results or interviews have not had a chance to influence their draft grades.
In March, I will post a updated top 200 list to compare what players have risen or fallen based off factors that had zero influence on these played the game of football when it mattered.
| Rank | Name | Pos | School |
| 1 | Bjoern Werner | DE | Florida State |
| 2 | Jake Matthews | OT | Texas A&M |
| 3 | Star Lotulelei | DT | Utah |
| 4 | Luke Joeckel | OT | Texas A&M |
| 5 | Chance Warmack | OG | Alabama |
| 6 | Keenan Allen | WR | California |
| 7 | Kenny Vaccaro | S | Texas |
| 8 | Sheldon Richardson | DT | Missouri |
| 9 | Taylor Lewan | OT | Michigan |
| 10 | Dion Jordan | DE | Oregon |
| 11 | Dee Milliner | CB | Alabama |
| 12 | Jessie Williams | DT | Alabama |
| 13 | Alec Ogletree | ILB | Georgia |
| 14 | Manti Te'o | ILB | Notre Dame |
| 15 | Jonathan Hankins | DT | Ohio State |
| 16 | Eric Fisher | OT | Central Michigan |
| 17 | Sam Montgomery | DE | LSU |
| 18 | Quinton Patton | WR | Louisiana Tech |
| 19 | Tler Eifert | TE | Notre Dame |
| 20 | Tavon Austin | WR | West Virginia |
| 21 | Jonathan Cooper | OG | North Carolina |
| 22 | Jonathan Banks | CB | Mississippi State |
| 23 | Ezekial Ansah | DE | BYU |
| 24 | Robert Woods | WR | USC |
| 25 | Oday Aboushi | OT | Virginia |
| 26 | Corey Lemonier | DE | Auburn |
| 27 | Zach Ertz | TE | Stanford |
| 28 | Geovani Bernard | RB | North Carolina |
| 29 | Kawann Short | DT | Purdue |
| 30 | Terrance Williams | WR | Baylor |
| 31 | Kevin Minter | ILB | LSU |
| 32 | Michael Glennon | QB | North Carolina State |
| 33 | Arthur Brown | ILB | Kansas State |
| 34 | Kyle Van Noy | OLB | BYU |
| 35 | Justin Hunter | WR | Tennessee |
| 36 | Brandon Jenkins | OLB | Florida State |
| 37 | James Tyler Wilson | QB | Arkansas |
| 38 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | Clemson |
| 39 | Cordelle Patterson | WR | Tennessee |
| 40 | Geno Smith | QB | West Virginia |
| 41 | Matt Barkely | QB | USC |
| 42 | Jarvis Jones | OLB | Georgia |
| 43 | Barrett Jones | CB | Alabama |
| 44 | D.J. Fluker | OT | Alabama |
| 45 | Eric Reid | S | LSU |
| 46 | Khaseem Greene | OLB | Rutgers |
| 47 | Melvin White | CB | Louisiana-Lafayette |
| 48 | Cobi Hamilton | WR | Arkansas |
| 49 | Damontre Moore | DE | Texas A&M |
| 50 | Montee Ball | RB | Wisconsin |
| 51 | Xavier Rhodes | CB | Florida State |
| 52 | Stedman Bailey | WR | West Virginia |
| 53 | Cornel Carradine | DE | Florida State |
| 54 | Sharif Floyd | DT | Florida |
| 55 | Anthony Barr | OLB | UCLA |
| 56 | Matt Elam | ATH | Florida |
| 57 | Justin Pugh | OT | Syracuse |
| 58 | Aaron Dobson | WR | Marshall |
| 59 | Slyvester Williams | DT | North Carolina |
| 60 | Andre Ellington | RB | Clemson |
| 61 | Margus Hunt | DE | SMU |
| 62 | Barkevious Mingo | OLB | LSU |
| 63 | Chase Thomas | OLB | Stanford |
| 64 | Akeem Spence | DT | Illinois |
| 65 | Tony Jefferson | ATH | Oklahoma |
| 66 | Lane Johnson | OT | Oklahoma |
| 67 | Joseph Randle | RB | Oklahoma State |
| 68 | Shayne Skov | ILB | Stanford |
| 69 | James Gayle | DE | Virginia Tech |
| 70 | David Amerson | ATH | North Carolina State |
| 71 | Da'Rick Rogers | WR | Tennessee Tech |
| 72 | Jordan Poyer | CB | Oregon State |
| 73 | Robert Lester | ATH | Alabama |
| 74 | Chris Harper | WR | Kansas State |
| 75 | Jelani Jenkins | OLB | Florida |
| 76 | Ticory Grissom | NT | South Florida |
| 77 | Richard Wagner | OT | Wisconsin |
| 78 | Aaron Murray | QB | Georgia |
| 79 | Marquess Wilson | WR | Washington State |
| 80 | Kenny Stills | WR | Oklahoma |
| 81 | Zaviar Gooden | OLB | Missouri |
| 82 | William Gholston | DE | Michigan State |
| 83 | Will Davis | CB | Utah State |
| 84 | Lawrence Warford | OG | Kentucky |
| 85 | Tyler Bray | QB | Tennessee |
| 86 | Jordan Reed | TE | Florida |
| 87 | Aaron Klein | OLB | Iowa State |
| 88 | Nico Johnson | OLB | Alabama |
| 89 | Jamie Collins | OLB | Southern Miss |
| 90 | Leon McFadden | CB | San Diego State |
| 91 | Corey Fuller | WR | Virginia Tech |
| 92 | Erik Manuel | QB | Florida State |
| 93 | Jonathan Brown | OLB | Illinois |
| 94 | Landry Jones | QB | Oklahoma |
| 95 | Brandon Magee | OLB | Arizona State |
| 96 | Dallas Thomas | OT | Tennessee |
| 97 | Travis Frederick | OG | Wisconsin |
| 98 | Zac Dysert | QB | Miami (OH) |
| 99 | Michael Williams | ATH | Nevada |
| 100 | Kyle Fuller | CB | Virginia Tech |
| 101 | Blidi Wreh-Wilson | CB | Uconn |
| 102 | Ryan Nassib | QB | Syracuse |
| 103 | Kyle Long | OT | Oregon |
| 104 | Quintin Williams | ATH | Georgia |
| 105 | Dennard Robinson | ATH | Michigan |
| 106 | Kevin Reddick | ILB | North Carolina |
| 107 | Michael Gillislee | RB | Florida |
| 108 | Michael Mauti | OLB | Penn State |
| 109 | Brennan Williams | OT | North Carolina |
| 110 | Mychal Rivera | TE | Tennessee |
| 111 | Stepfan Taylor | RB | Stanford |
| 112 | John Simon | DE | Ohio State |
| 113 | Bradley McDougald | ATH | Kansas |
| 114 | Brent Russell | DT | Georgia Southern |
| 115 | DJ Swearinger | ATH | South Carolina |
| 116 | Etienne Sabino | OLB | Ohio State |
| 117 | Joshua | ATH | Florida |
| 118 | Marcus Davis | WR | Virginia Tech |
| 119 | Terry Hawthorne | CB | Illinois |
| 120 | John Jenkins | DT | Georgia |
| 121 | Jacob Knott | OLB | Iowa State |
| 122 | Christine Michael | RB | Texas A&M |
| 123 | Sheldon Price | CB | UCLA |
| 124 | Brandon Williams | DT | Missouri Southern |
| 125 | Phillip Thomas | ATH | Fresno State |
| 126 | Ryan Lacy | CB | Utah |
| 127 | Chris Borland | MLB | Wisconsin |
| 128 | Dennis Johnson | RB | Arkansas |
| 129 | Jordan Hill | DT | Penn State |
| 130 | Cyril Richardson | OT | Baylor |
| 131 | Malliciah Goodman | DE | Clemson |
| 132 | Bacarri Rambo | S | Georgia |
| 133 | Hugh Thornton | OG | Illinois |
| 134 | Brian Winters | OT | Kent State |
| 135 | Cierre Wood | RB | Notre Dame |
| 136 | Devin Taylor | DE | South Carolina |
| 137 | Gerald Hodges | OLB | Penn State |
| 138 | Johnathan Franklin | RB | UCLA |
| 139 | Khaled Holmes | OC | USC |
| 140 | John Wetzel | OT | Boston College |
| 141 | Mike Buchanan | DE | Illinois |
| 142 | Joseph Fauria | TE | UCLA |
| 143 | Ryan Swope | WR | Texas A&M |
| 144 | Oscar Johnson | OT | Louisiana Tech |
| 145 | Anthony White | NT | Michigan State |
| 146 | Tim McDonald Jr | ATH | USC |
| 147 | Everette Dawkins | DT | Florida State |
| 148 | Wes Horton | DE | USC |
| 149 | Anthony McCloud | NT | Florida State |
| 150 | Seantrel Henderson | OT | Miami |
| 151 | La'veon Bell | RB | Michigan State |
| 152 | Chris Jacobson | OG | Pittsburgh |
| 153 | Chris Norman | OLB | Michigan State |
| 154 | Phi Lutzenkirchen | TE | Auburn |
| 155 | Chris Gragg | TE | Arkansas |
| 156 | Kaleb Ramsey | DT | Boston College |
| 157 | Stacy McGee | DT | Oklahoma |
| 158 | Sean Porter | OLB | Texas A&M |
| 159 | Eddie Lacy | RB | Alabama |
| 160 | Darryl Stonum | WR | Baylor |
| 161 | Marquis Jackson | DE | Texas Southern |
| 162 | Datone Jones | DE | UCLA |
| 163 | Curtis McNeal | RB | USC |
| 164 | Devon Christopher | WR | Utah |
| 165 | Jamal Miles | WR | Arizona State |
| 166 | Josh Boyd | DT | Mississippi State |
| 167 | Chris Holloman | ATH | South Carolina |
| 168 | Donald Coles | WR | Virginia Tech |
| 169 | Keith Pough | OLB | Howard |
| 170 | Sanders Commings | CB | Georgia |
| 171 | Tyrann Mathieu | CB | LSU |
| 172 | Zach Mettenberger | QB | LSU |
| 173 | Marquise Goodwin | WR | Texas |
| 174 | Kenneth Tate | OLB | Maryland |
| 175 | Ramon Buchanan | OLB | Miami |
| 176 | Michael Burkhead | RB | Nebraska |
| 177 | Johnny Adams | CB | Michigan State |
| 178 | Devin Street | WR | Pittsburgh |
| 179 | Kenjon Barner | RB | Oregon |
| 180 | Raymond Graham | RB | Pittsburgh |
| 181 | Xavier Nixon | OT | Florida |
| 182 | Nathaniel Williams | DE | Ohio State |
| 183 | Jared Smith | DT | New Hampshire |
| 184 | Brian Mulroe | OG | Northwestern |
| 185 | Markus Wheaton | WR | Oregon State |
| 186 | Montori Hughes | DT | Tennessee Martin |
| 187 | Desmond Trufant | CB | Washington |
| 188 | Jonathan Bostic | ILB | Florida |
| 189 | John Sullen | OG | Auburn |
| 190 | Drew Frey | ATH | Cincinnati |
| 191 | Montel Harris | RB | Temple |
| 192 | Benjamin Cotton | TE | Nebraska |
| 193 | John White | RB | Utah |
| 194 | Alex Okafor | DE | Texas |
| 195 | Luke Marquardt | OT | Azusa Pacific |
| 196 | Matt Scott | QB | Arizona |
| 197 | Joseph Vellanodt | ATH | Maryland |
| 198 | David King | DE | Oklahoma |
| 199 | Collin Klein | QB | Kansas State |
| 200 | Daimion Stafford | ATH | Nebraska |
How will Ranger nation handle this team rebuilding?
They had a plan to try and quickly reload it and still be a contender in the AL West. All those plans fell apart and they have decided to play all the kids.
Fresh off a season where Rangers ballpark set the record for highest attendance in club history, not going to be the case this year. Unfortunately for hardcore fans, ticket prices will not be adjusted, mini game plans will not be adjusted. You will be expected to pay the same dollar that most were happy to pay for a team fresh off back to back AL titles.
But how will fans react to paying the same increased amount for a rebuilding team, the team had a payroll of $120,510,975 in 2012.
If the team gets off a good start like it did in 2012, it won't matter. People will pay for a winner regardless of the heat or commute from Dallas or Ft. Worth. However what happens if the team gets off to a 8-15 start like the Angels did in 2012?
We have to expect this team is going to fall back to earth in a sense next year, they are going to depend on 3 rookies make serious impacts immediately (Profar, Olt and Perez). They are depending on a starting pitcher to ace the staff after one year of major league experience, history suggest a sophomore slump will happen especially considering threw over 195 innings last year. I suppose offensively the team will lean on Kinsler, Beltre and Cruz to be the focus, all of whom have durability questions or severe consistency issues.
The good news is the team has some interesting trade pieces to deal at the deadline if they are out of the running, mainly Pierzynski, Colby Lewis, Nelson Cruz and Joe Nathan.
If they happen to hang with the Angels in the west, they have the prospects and payroll flexibility to take on a plus quality player even if its a huge contract. I just don't see this team able to stick with the halos or even the defending division champs Athletics.
The franchise will ask for your patience and tell you how good Jurickson Profar, Mike Olt, Martin Perez and even Leonys Martin will be. Fact is the odds of successfully hitting on a prospect is 30% so of the 4 mentioned, confident only one of them will be a top major league player.
The team should basically sell this season off, trade as many veterans at the deadline as teams will take, get your prospects and enter next offseason in a buying frenzy. Trade those prospects for the right pieces to take this roster to the next level.
One disturbing trend I noticed during the 2012 offseason is a team fresh of a record payroll was scared to pull the trigger in free agency. The fact is GM Daniels is you will almost ALWAYS overpay in free agency for a quality player. You resign your own, trade for players or develop your prospects if you want to stay away from wide open free agency. They are going to try the cheap route in 2013 since the record payroll of 2012 did not yield the desired results.
Friday, December 21, 2012
Can't tell me the Rangers had this in mind
Reminds me to the Mavericks pipe dream of the 2012 offseason plan of signing Deron Williams, then trade for Dwight Howard to quickly build a contender. The plan fell apart and so did the backup plans.
The Rangers find themselves in a similiar state but with a few thankful alternatives I will mention shortly. They hoped to sign Zack Greinke to shore up the rotation and give them a dominating 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Then use the farm system to acquire a top bat and allow them to move on from Josh Hamilton, the names involved were Justin Upton or even resign Hamilton.
The Rangers organization were involved in almost every rumor involving top players at the winter meetings but refused to trade any of the top prospects. Other teams moved on simply leaving the Rangers on the outside looking in. Greinke went to the Dodgers, Arizona acquired a average safety in a multi-team trade and decided they were better off not trading Upton and for kicks, Hamilton signed for 5-years with AL West rival LA Angels De California.
So incase you missed it, here's what the Rangers have done thus far.
Lost
Mike Napoli (deal still pending with Red Sox)
Mike Adams
Koji Uhera
Josh Hamilton
Traded away Mike Young
Signed
Joakim Soria (Recovering from Tommy John surgery)
AJ Pierzynski
This team is weak in the middle of the lineup with no bats that will intimidate opposing pitchers. Only Adrian Beltre has the bat to consistently beat teams with power but he will have no one to protect him. Nelson Cruz is not the consistent power threat to be that kind of guy and AJ might fill that role but it seems wishful thinking at this point.
Management has been mute on the plans for Kinsler this year, his job at second is in jeopardy as Jurickson Profar will be given every opportunity to take his job at spring. Does he move to first base or left field? I like Kinsler's bat and I want him more in a role he can drive more runs in than a simple solo shot to start a game. I am against having him as a leadoff guy, would rather have Andrus in that role. I like the idea of Profar in the 9 spot with Andrus at leadoff, Murphy at 2nd followed by Kinsler, Beltre and AJ.
The team is also weak in the bullpen as well as the back end of the rotation. The team has said they will make Alexi Ogando a starter this year despite a huge hole as a 8th inning power relief pitcher. Ogando was an excellent starting pitcher two years ago but faded fast down the stretch. This team is going to have to win with pitching and defense, the offense will have trouble scoring consistently. I value starting pitching over a set up man, I'd rather have Ogando in the rotation where he has success at the ML level and acquire a veteran set up reliever prior to spring training. I understand the arguement need to be strong in the bullpen especially when team will have trouble scoring runs but same is true if you are down 4 nothing after two innings.
I expect Robbie Ross will become a extremely consistent reliever and become that set up man until Soria returns from his surgery to form a solid back end of the bullpen as well as a future closer in Soria when Joe Nathan heads to free agency next year.
Friday, November 30, 2012
Don't fall for this team
I'm going to start this saying that I think Dallas loses to the Eagles at the death star Sunday night. All I needed to know is most "experts" picked the Cowboys to win and people are taking the koolaid that with some players returning from injury, things will change and this team will suddenly be able to fix their problems and get it together.
What in this teams history, meaning under Jason Garrett and Jerry make you think this team is any way capable of doing that?
So they will lose and the season will be all but mathematically lost eventhough we've known this for weeks regardless. So what would a good organization do at this point? How about finding out if you have any young players in need of playing time to see what you have there? Maybe find out if Lance Dunbar can replace Felix Jones as backup runner with 10-12 carries and trusted in pass protection? What about if Dwayne Harris can become the 3rd wide receiver and play outside with Austin in the slot? And maybe we can see what that athletic rookie tight end James Hannah can do for a struggling offense, bless John Phillips but he's not a receiving threat at all. Oh and speaking of a struggling offense which has been blamed on a poor offensive line, how about benching the 64th rated most efficient offensive tackle in the NFL, that would be Doug Free for Jeremy Parnell. According to twitter @DCBlueStar, Parnell has played 158 snaps with 1 sack, 2 hits and 6 hurries. And if that David Arkin is a prospect, give the kid a shot to play on Sunday or cut him from the roster.
Give looks off other teams practice squad and shake up the bottom of the roster, create uncertainty Jason Garrett and use the only power tool you have in your set, change the playing time for players underperforming.
Unfortunately, this team is not doing any of that because this is a poorly run organization that has a solid front loaded core team that has accepted losing as not that big a deal. This mentality is confirmed by the total lack of accountability in all 3 phases of the organization, ownership, coaching staff and the players.
Instead, we will hear the company line that they will battle hard but still lose, miss the playoffs and enter another offseason of frustration with salary cap jail on the horizon, roster filled with underperforming veterans, an aging core, no organizational identity and no confidence in the GM to turn it around.
Friday, November 23, 2012
Happy Thanksgiving to all but Cowboys & Longhorns do their best to ruin the football holiday.
I am going to post all details but the basic message here is I am for tearing the Cowboys organization down and rebuild. The core is beyond its prime and there is zero hope for adding enough quality pieces to fill in the gaps in time. This means I am for firing Jason Garrett, Rob Ryan. I am ofcourse for firing Jerry Jones the GM.
I trade Tony Romo, Miles Austin and all of them for the draft picks. Start over. It means everyone must go, Jason Witten, DeMarcus Ware. As frustrating it seems like we can't just fix the offensive line and add a safety, that can make this a winning team right? Unfortunately no because I fully believe this Cowboys core has accepted losing which cannot be undone if they considered the core of the team. The only hope is adding a leadership core that does not accept losing quick enough to refuel the aging veterans already in place. However there is zero confidence in the GM to get this done.
As far as the Longhorns, they will enter the offseason again searching for stability at the QB position. David Ash regressed as did the Texas Defense failing to wrap up ballcarries especially in the secondary and the defensive line inability to escape blocks to contain the running game. They will continue to be a non factor in the Big 12 title much less a national championship aslong as they have instability at QB. In my opinion, David Ash has not proved he can consistently beat a Defense with his arm and definitely not his feet. Case McCoy is a good backup and can jumpstart a offense in a pinch but is not the answer big picture in Austin. The goals this offseason must be to see what Connor Brewer and new recruit Tyrone Swoopes can do, Mack must be a leader and make the tough decision to find a QB to restore the program back to prominence. The second most important goal is make this defense go into tackling drills everyday in practice period, can no longer accept practicing safe to avoid injuries, the lack of tackling on this entire squad hurt the team from week 1 through Thanksgiving.
Sucks to be a fan of these teams but the eternal optimism that the NFL Draft and college recruiting brings each year leaves hope but the facts suggest it is not going to happen in the near future.